Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Austria	Laola1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	Play Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	Caze TV, SportyNet
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Laola1, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport Arena
Malta	TSN Malta 5
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2
World	OneFootball TV


	Borussia Dortmund		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.00	Watch
	1.34	5.75	7.75
	1.30	5.50	8.00	Watch
	1.36	5.70	8.92
	1.37	5.65	7.52	Watch
	1.33	5.60	8.65
	1.36	5.60	8.65	Watch
	1.36	5.80	8.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.34)	5.61 ↑ (5.37)	8.21 ↓ (8.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
71.3%

Draw
17.1%

Hamburger SV
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

17.7%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	4.8%	0%

Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Borussia D (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (39 of 41 users predict this - 95.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.53% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 26. Ryerson J. 3. Anton W. (C) 22. Gadou J. 14. Beier M. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 19. Karetsas K. 9. Guirassy S. 45. Konstantelias G.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 24. Capaldo N. 33. Bornauw S. 23. Torunarigha J. 18. Jatta B. 6. Lokonga A. S. 21. Remberg N. (C) 37. Lemke L. 5. Adeline M. 11. Gronbaek A. 27. Daka P.
Substitutes
41. Albert M. 40. Inacio S. 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 36. Prates K. 49. Reggiani L. 20. Sabitzer M. 21. Silva F. 25. Veerman J.	22. Amoako K. 8. Elfadli D. 9. Moffi T. 4. Nadir B. 43. Nandja S. 14. Philippe R. 15. Poulsen Y. 19. Stange O. 12. Tangvik S. (G)
Coaches
Kovac N.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
21', Lokonga A. S. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Bornauw S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Konstantelias G. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
58', Ryerson J. 🟨,
67', Daka P. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
67', Adeline M. ↓, Amoako K. ↑,
74', Nmecha F. ↓, Veerman J. ↑,
74', Karetsas K. ↓, Inacio S. ↑,
74', Ryerson J. ↓, Mane F. ↑,
77', Inacio S. 🟥,
82', Torunarigha J. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
82', Jatta B. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
84', Beier M. ↓, Prates K. ↑,
85', Svensson D. 🟨,
89', Lemke L. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Hamburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Borussia D is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Knee Injury) Kaba M. (Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Muheim M. (Muscle Injury) Omari W. (Personal Reasons) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Ribs Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.4:1.1).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 9.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2:13	-11	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Super Cup
22.08.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Borussia Dortmund - Roma	2:2 ✺
Emirates Cup
09.08.26	Arsenal - Borussia Dortmund	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Tokyo - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Cerezo Osaka - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWL
- Hamburger SV
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Verl - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Toulouse - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Hamburger SV - Everton	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Rapid Wien - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:2
08.11.25	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
10.02.18	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	2:0
20.09.17	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	0:3
04.04.17	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:0
05.11.16	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	2:5
17.04.16	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:0

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