Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	13:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	02:30	beIN Sports 1
Austria	18:30	Laola1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	18:30	Play Sports 2
Bolivia	12:30	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	13:30	Caze TV, SportyNet
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 3
Cameroon	17:30	CRTV Sports
Canada	12:30	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	11:30	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Ecuador	11:30	ESPN 2
Finland	19:30	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	18:30	Laola1, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	18:30	Arena 4
Iceland	16:30	Viaplay
Italy	18:30	Sky Sport Arena
Malta	18:30	TSN Malta 5
Mexico	10:30	FOX One, FOX Sports
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
Norway	18:30	Viaplay
Paraguay	12:30	ESPN 2
Peru	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	18:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV1
Spain	18:30	Movistar Plus+
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Turkey	19:30	S Sport+
Ukraine	19:30	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	17:30	Sky Go
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	ESPN+, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
International	16:30	OneFootball TV


	Borussia Dortmund		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.00	Watch
	1.34	5.75	7.75
	1.30	5.50	8.00	Watch
	1.36	5.70	8.92
	1.37	5.65	7.52	Watch
	1.33	5.60	8.65
	1.36	5.60	8.65	Watch
	1.36	5.80	8.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.34)	5.61 ↑ (5.37)	8.21 ↓ (8.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
71.3%

Draw
17.1%

Hamburger SV
11.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71%

17.7%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	4.8%	0%

Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Borussia D (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (39 of 41 users predict this - 95.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.53% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 26. Ryerson J. 3. Anton W. (C) 22. Gadou J. 14. Beier M. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 19. Karetsas K. 9. Guirassy S. 45. Konstantelias G.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 24. Capaldo N. 33. Bornauw S. 23. Torunarigha J. 18. Jatta B. 6. Lokonga A. S. 21. Remberg N. (C) 37. Lemke L. 5. Adeline M. 11. Gronbaek A. 27. Daka P.
Substitutes
41. Albert M. 40. Inacio S. 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 36. Prates K. 49. Reggiani L. 20. Sabitzer M. 21. Silva F. 25. Veerman J.	22. Amoako K. 8. Elfadli D. 9. Moffi T. 4. Nadir B. 43. Nandja S. 14. Philippe R. 15. Poulsen Y. 19. Stange O. 12. Tangvik S. (G)
Coaches
Kovac N.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
21', Lokonga A. S. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Bornauw S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Konstantelias G. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
58', Ryerson J. 🟨,
67', Daka P. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
67', Adeline M. ↓, Amoako K. ↑,
74', Nmecha F. ↓, Veerman J. ↑,
74', Karetsas K. ↓, Inacio S. ↑,
74', Ryerson J. ↓, Mane F. ↑,
77', Inacio S. 🟥,
82', Torunarigha J. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
82', Jatta B. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
84', Beier M. ↓, Prates K. ↑,
85', Svensson D. 🟨,
89', Lemke L. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Hamburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Borussia D is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Knee Injury) Kaba M. (Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Muheim M. (Muscle Injury) Omari W. (Personal Reasons) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Ribs Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	12:4	8	17
11	Hamburger SV	7	3	0	4	6:16	-10	9

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 7.11%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Super Cup
22.08.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Borussia Dortmund - Roma	2:2 ✺
Emirates Cup
09.08.26	Arsenal - Borussia Dortmund	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Tokyo - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Cerezo Osaka - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWL
- Hamburger SV
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Verl - Hamburger SV	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Toulouse - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Hamburger SV - Everton	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Rapid Wien - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:2
08.11.25	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
10.02.18	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	2:0
20.09.17	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	0:3
04.04.17	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:0
05.11.16	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	2:5
17.04.16	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	3:0

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