Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+
World	OneFootball TV


	Köln		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	2.15	Watch
	2.87	3.70	2.30
	3.2	3.6	2.12	Watch
	3.33	3.85	2.19
	2.89	3.71	2.32	Watch
	3.15	3.65	2.2
	3.17	3.83	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.8	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.91)	3.74 ↑ (3.64)	2.21 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
30.8%

Draw
25.7%

Hoffenheim
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

26.1%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.6%	9.7%	67.7%

Köln - Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.26) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (C) 17. Castro-Montes A. 22. Simpson-Pusey J. 24. Lochoshvili L. 14. Mensah G. 8. Johannesson I. 5. Krauss T. 23. Okon-Engstler P. 29. Thielmann J. 9. Ache R. 10. El Mala S.	1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 8. Wimmer P. 18. Burger W. 7. Avdullahu L. 14. Daghim A. 20. Conte B. 10. Hlozek A.
Substitutes
30. Bulter M. 27. Dallinga T. 39. Friemel J. 11. Heskey R. 37. Maina L. 2. Schmied J. 6. Skhiri E. 33. van den Berg R. 20. Zieler R. (G)	29. Abraha N. 17. De Cat N. 15. Gendrey V. 2. Hranac R. 27. Kramaric A. 32. Lenz C. 9. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 39. Rots M.
Coaches
Wagner R.	Ilzer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Daghim A. ⚽, Conte B. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, El Mala S. ⚽,
53', Bernardo ↓, Hranac R. ↑,
53', Hlozek A. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
57', Moerstedt M. (Penalty Awarded),
65', El Mala S. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
65', Okon-Engstler P. ↓, Skhiri E. ↑,
66', Ache R. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Kabak O. ⚽, Coufal V. (A),
71', Wimmer P. ↓, De Cat N. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Dallinga T. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
82', 3 - 2, Dallinga T. ⚽,
83', Kabak O. 🟨,
87', Daghim A. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
87', Hajdari A. ↓, Rots M. ↑,
90', Krauss T. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
90+3', Castro-Montes A. ↓, Schmied J. ↑,
90+4', Moerstedt M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 2.

Hoffenheim is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hoffenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hoffenheim could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Pauli J. (Inactive) Sebulonsen S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Asllani F. (Injury) Lemperle T. (Red Card) Prass A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Maina L. (Shin Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:43. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Hoffenheim: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	FC Koln	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3

Last Results with these Odds

Hoffenheim - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 41.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Würzburger Kickers - Köln	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Köln - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
16.05.26	Bayern Munich - Köln	5:1 ✺
10.05.26	Köln - Heidenheim	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Union Berlin - Köln	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLT
- TSG Hoffenheim
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Hoffenheim	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Hoffenheim	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Hoffenheim - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
21.02.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	2:2
03.10.25	Hoffenheim - Köln	0:1
11.02.24	Hoffenheim - Köln	1:1
16.09.23	Köln - Hoffenheim	1:3
22.04.23	Hoffenheim - Köln	1:3
30.10.22	Köln - Hoffenheim	1:1
06.03.22	Köln - Hoffenheim	0:1

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