Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Waldstadion (Homburg)

Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9


	Homburg		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.75	1.57	Watch
	5.5	4.5	1.53
	5.4	4.45	1.55	Watch
	4.85	4.6	1.57
	4.97	4.17	1.57	Watch
	5	4.2	1.5
	4.77	4.77	1.58	Watch
	4.9	4	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↑ (4.94)	4.43 ↑ (4.09)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homburg
18.7%

Draw
21.2%

Holstein Kiel
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

22.7%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Homburg - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gelt M. (G) 31. Littmann T. 13. Roseler N. 4. Kober M. 3. Schumann F. 6. Baum F. 18. Goncalves M. 29. Ristl M. (C) 11. Mendler M. 9. Kovacic O. 28. Gouras M.	1. Weiner T. (G) 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 5. Johansson C. 10. Therkelsen J. 24. Knudsen M. 39. Wagner R. 47. Tolkin J. 29. Niehoff N. 19. Harres P. 7. Skrzybski S. (C)
Substitutes
37. Hoffmann L. (G) 21. Jorg N. 41. Mata K. 17. Petermann J. 7. Qenaj A. 36. Steinhart P. 26. Steinmetz T. 14. Suljic A. 34. Walzer G.	11. Bernhardsson A. 15. Davidsen K. 6. Ivezic M. 3. Komenda M. 21. Krumrey J. (G) 25. Muller M. 8. Porath F. 23. Rosenboom L. 22. Schwab S.
Coaches
Seitz R.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Tolkin J. ⚽, Therkelsen J. (A),
27', Knudsen M. 🟨,
31', Kober M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', Niehoff N. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
67', Knudsen M. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
68', Weiner T. ↓, Krumrey J. ↑,
72', Gouras M. ↓, Suljic A. ↑,
72', Kovacic O. ↓, Jorg N. ↑,
83', Goncalves M. ↓, Petermann J. ↑,
83', Littmann T. ↓, Steinmetz T. ↑,
85', Skrzybski S. ↓, Bernhardsson A. ↑,
90+3', Ristl M. 🟨,
90+5', Therkelsen J. 🟨,
90+5', Therkelsen J. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
90+6', Johansson C. 🟨,
90+10', 0 - 2, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Schwab S. (A),

Preview

Homburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Holstein Kiel is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
10.08.25	Freiburg II - Homburg	5:3 ✺
02.08.25	Homburg - Hessen Kassel	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.25	Homburg - Elversberg	3:0 ✺
23.07.25	Hoffenheim - Homburg	4:0 ✺
16.07.25	Jeunesse Esch - Homburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LTWLW
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel	1:4 ✺
07.07.25	Minnesota United - Holstein Kiel	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.05.25	Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWTL

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