Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 32

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Holstein Kiel II		Hamburger II

	1	X	2
	2.49	3.75	2.42
	2.48	3.91	2.31
	2.42	3.94	2.37
	2.42	3.7	2.35
	2.49	3.75	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.01)	3.81 ↓ (3.92)	2.37 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel II
37.3%

Draw
24.1%

Hamburger II
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

23.5%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

22.6%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holstein Kiel II's performance.

Hamburger II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hamburger II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Holstein Kiel II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamburger II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Holstein Kiel II - Hamburger II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Breitenbucher N. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Meyer P. K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel II won 2.

Recent form of Holstein Kiel II has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hamburg II's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hamburg II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel II won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel II won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
27.04.25	St. Pauli II - Holstein Kiel II	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Holstein Kiel II - Todesfelde	1:3 ✺
04.04.25	Werder Bremen II - Holstein Kiel II	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	2:4 ✺
22.03.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Holstein Kiel II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLLW
- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
25.04.25	Meppen - Hamburger II	5:1 ✺
12.04.25	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	4:2 ✺
06.04.25	Todesfelde - Hamburger II	0:1 ✺
02.04.25	Hamburger II - Lübeck	2:3 ✺
22.03.25	Oldenburg - Hamburger II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
19.10.24	Hamburger II - Holstein Kiel II	2:1
11.02.24	Hamburger II - Holstein Kiel II	2:3
19.08.23	Holstein Kiel II - Hamburger II	4:1
18.03.23	Holstein Kiel II - Hamburger II	2:2
31.07.22	Hamburger II - Holstein Kiel II	4:0
29.11.21	Hamburger II - Holstein Kiel II	0:3
12.09.21	Holstein Kiel II - Hamburger II	3:1

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