Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 33

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Holstein Kiel II		Meppen

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.3	1.78
	3.85	4.75	1.62
	3.4	4.57	1.74	Watch
	3.57	4.2	1.72
	3.5	4.3	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (5.42)	4.42 ↑ (4.4)	1.73 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel II
25.9%

Draw
20.8%

Meppen
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

20.6%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

20.3%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holstein Kiel II's performance.

Meppen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Meppen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Holstein Kiel II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meppen than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Meppen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Holstein Kiel II - Meppen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel II will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Meppen will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
79', 0 - 1, Tasov L. ⚽,
85', 0 - 2, Wessels N. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Winter J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Holstein Kiel II is Relegated to

Recent form of Holstein Kiel II has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Meppen is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Holstein Kiel II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Meppen is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Holstein Kiel II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
04.05.25	Holstein Kiel II - Hamburger II	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	St. Pauli II - Holstein Kiel II	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Holstein Kiel II - Todesfelde	1:3 ✺
04.04.25	Werder Bremen II - Holstein Kiel II	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL
- SV Meppen
German Regionalliga North
04.05.25	Teutonia Ottensen - Meppen	0:3 ✺
25.04.25	Meppen - Hamburger II	5:1 ✺
17.04.25	Bremer SV - Meppen	2:5 ✺
12.04.25	Eintracht Norderstedt - Meppen	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Meppen - St. Pauli II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
26.10.24	Meppen - Holstein Kiel II	3:1
06.03.24	Holstein Kiel II - Meppen	3:3
28.01.24	Meppen - Holstein Kiel II	2:0

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