Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 7

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Bartons North Wales Stadium (Holywell)

Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Holywell Town		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.60	2.25
	2.45	3.60	2.35
	2.56	4.12	2.42
	2.76	3.82	2.27	Watch
	2.50	4.00	2.30
	2.51	3.65	2.28
	2.48	3.70	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.25)	3.78 ↓ (4.04)	2.32 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holywell Town
36.2%

Draw
24.2%

Trefelin
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

23.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

21.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Holywell Town's form might have worsened.

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holywell Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trefelin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Holywell Town - Trefelin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Trefelin (1.74) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Trefelin (1.84) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Trefelin (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Swindell A. (G) 7. Bibby T. 34. Edwards R. 18. Hughes C. 16. McGiveron D. 28. Morris H. 17. Reed J. 19. Sconce J. 6. Sullivan D. 12. Tierney J. 27. Yonsian F.	1. Coughlan S. (G) 10. Brock T. 4. Caramella-Gerrard L. 18. Degelman O. 19. Jones J. 5. MacDonald S. 17. Phillips L. 16. Piper R. 12. Saunders C. 2. Thomas M. 11. Ware L.
Substitutes
20. Baker S. 2. Bedford C. 31. Collins E. (G) 9. Davies O. 8. Dogan T. 14. Murtas F. 10. Winslade M.	20. Aman B. 7. Georgievsky K. 3. Horgan-Evans D. 21. Jones H. (G) 14. Jones J. 15. Parker K. 33. Pockett L.
Coaches
Haseldin J.	Hill A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Phillips L. ⚽,
67', Phillips L. ↓, Horgan-Evans D. ↑,
72', Sconce J. ↓, Davies O. ↑,
73', Reed J. ↓, Winslade M. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Morris H. ⚽,
90', Piper R. ↓, Aman B. ↑,
90+1', Yonsian F. ↓, Murtas F. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

Trefelin might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Trefelin: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Trefelin	12	0	3	9	5:30	-25	3
16	Holywell	12	0	2	10	13:38	-25	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
31.08.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Holywell Town	6:2 ✺
28.08.26	Holywell Town - Caernarfon Town	3:5 ✺
21.08.26	Holywell Town - Barry Town United	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Llandudno - Holywell Town	3:1 ✺
07.08.26	Holywell Town - Gap Connahs Quay	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru Premier
31.08.26	Haverfordwest County - Trefelin	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Trefelin - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Trefelin - Caernarfon Town	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Trefelin	6:0 ✺
07.08.26	Trefelin - Llandudno	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL

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