Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Homberg		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.3
	7	5	1.3
	7	5.25	1.3
	7.4	4.8	1.34
	7.94	4.94	1.38
	8	5.05	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.39 ↑ (7.38)	5.01 ↓ (5.11)	1.33 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homberg
12.4%

Draw
18.4%

Borussia Dortmund II
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

9.8%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Homberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-31.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Dortmund II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Homberg - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 2).

Recent matches Homberg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borussia Dortmund II is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Borussia Dortmund II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Borussia Dortmund II is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Homberg
German Regionalliga West
02.12.20	Homberg - Bergisch Gladbach	0:1 ✺
28.11.20	Homberg - Bonner	3:1 ✺
25.11.20	Wiedenbrück - Homberg	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	Homberg - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:4 ✺
14.11.20	Sportfreunde Lotte - Homberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWTLW
- Borussia Dortmund II
German Regionalliga West
05.12.20	Borussia Dortmund II - Straelen	5:1 ✺
29.11.20	Bergisch Gladbach - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3
25.11.20	Borussia Dortmund II - Rödinghausen	1:2 ✺
21.11.20	Schalke 04 II - Borussia Dortmund II	1:5 ✺
17.11.20	Lippstadt 08 - Borussia Dortmund II	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
22.02.20	Homberg - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2
07.09.19	Borussia Dortmund II - Homberg	3:0

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