Match Info

GERMANY: DFB POKAL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event


	Homburg		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.8	1.43
	6.5	4.75	1.38	Watch
	6.69	4.76	1.47
	6.45	5.09	1.4
	6.5	4.6	1.36
	6.8	4.95	1.42	Watch
	6.4	4.8	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.54 ↑ (6.13)	4.81 ↑ (4.21)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homburg
14.3%

Draw
19.5%

Greuther Fürth
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

22.1%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

22.7%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.2%

Homburg - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: Greuther Fürth will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kretzschmar T. (G) 26. Steinmetz T. 21. Kirchhoff B. 30. Heilig M. 8. Dombrowka M. 10. Quirin L. 20. Jansen M. 13. Hoffmann P. 22. Weihrauch P. 11. Mendler M. (C) 23. Eisele F.	1. Linde A. (G) 33. Dietz M. 4. Michalski D. 15. Schlicke B. 2. Asta S. 13. Kiomourtzoglou O. 37. Green J. 5. Haddadi O. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 7. Srbeny D. 11. Abiama D.
Substitutes
5. Akoto R. 7. Ardestani A. 9. Harres P. 19. Hummel D. 31. Jorg N. 27. Knezevic I. 3. Lippert D. 1. Mayer J. (G) 16. Stavridis A.	21. Calhanoglu K. 14. Consbruch J. 23. Jung G. 19. Lemperle T. 3. Mhamdi O. 16. Petkov L. 30. Sieb A. 40. Urbig J. (G) 22. Wagner R.
Coaches
Schwarz D.	Zorniger A.

Preview

Homburg in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fürth is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Homburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fürth is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
28.10.23	Mainz II - Homburg	2:4 ✺
21.10.23	Homburg - Hessen Kassel	2:1 ✺
13.10.23	TuS Koblenz - Homburg	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Homburg - Kickers Offenbach	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Balingen - Homburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTWW
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
27.10.23	Greuther Fürth - Osnabrück	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Greuther Fürth - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Elversberg - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWTW

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