Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	09:00	Disney+
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	13:00	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:00	Moja TV, Sportklub 2, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	14:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	09:00	Disney+
Colombia	07:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	13:00	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	13:00	Viaplay
Finland	14:00	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	13:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong Kong	20:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	13:00	Net4+
Iceland	12:00	Viaplay
Israel	14:00	Sport 3
Laos	19:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Montenegro	13:00	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
North Macedonia	13:00	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	13:00	Viaplay
Peru	07:00	Disney+
Poland	13:00	Viaplay
Romania	14:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Singapore	20:00	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	13:00	Sport TV2
Spain	13:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:00	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	19:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	15:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1
United Kingdom	12:00	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	09:00	Disney+
Usa	07:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:00	Disney+
International	12:00	Disney+, Onefootball, Sky Sports app


	Hamburger SV		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.75	5	Watch
	1.57	4.6	5
	1.55	4.5	5	Watch
	1.58	4.76	5.27
	1.57	4.61	5.12	Watch
	1.57	4.4	5	Watch
	1.57	4.65	5.05	Watch
	1.55	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	4.6 ↑ (4.51)	5.06 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
60.6%

Draw
20.6%

Greuther Fürth
18.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.9%

20.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

20.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	21.4%	0%

Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. 28. Muheim M. 23. Meffert J. 29. Sahiti E. 17. Karabec A. 10. Pherai I. 7. Dompe J. 27. Selke D.	42. Schulze M. (G) 18. Meyerhofer M. 23. Jung G. 33. Dietz M. 2. Asta S. 6. Banse S. 37. Green J. 17. Giesselmann N. 10. Hrgota B. 8. Mustapha S. 9. Futkeu N.
Substitutes
30. Hefti S. 18. Jatta B. 33. Katterbach N. 12. Mickel T. (G) 24. Perrin L. 6. Poreba L. 20. Richter M. 49. Stange O. 36. Suhonen A.	27. Itter G. 11. Massimo R. 4. Michalski D. 22. Motika N. 36. Muller P. 5. Munz R. 43. Prufrock S. (G) 7. Srbeny D. 19. Wagner M.
Coaches
Polzin M.	Siewert J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Hadzikadunic D. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
11', 2 - 0, Selke D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
13', 3 - 0, Karabec A. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
24', Pherai I. 🟨,
35', Mustapha S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Green J. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
46', Mustapha S. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
54', Hadzikadunic D. 🟨,
59', 4 - 0, Selke D. ⚽, Mikelbrencis W. (A),
65', Pherai I. ↓, Poreba L. ↑,
65', Sahiti E. ↓, Katterbach N. ↑,
70', Banse S. ↓, Muller P. ↑,
74', Selke D. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
74', Meffert J. ↓, Suhonen A. ↑,
76', 5 - 0, Stange O. ⚽, Suhonen A. (A),
81', Futkeu N. ↓, Munz R. ↑,
81', Giesselmann N. ↓, Michalski D. ↑,
81', Karabec A. ↓, Richter M. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D. (Red Card) Glatzel R. (Tendon Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand)

There will not play in Fürth: Calhanoglu K. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 1.1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.24	Ulm 1846 - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hamburger SV	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWTL
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
15.12.24	Greuther Fürth - Hannover	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Ulm 1846 - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher	2:3 ✺
09.11.24	Köln - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
31.03.24	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	1:1
21.10.23	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	2:0
20.05.23	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	2:1
09.11.22	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	1:0
13.02.21	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	0:0
17.10.20	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	0:1
17.05.20	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	2:2

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