Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Sky Sports app


	Hamburger SV		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.75	5	Watch
	1.57	4.6	5
	1.55	4.5	5	Watch
	1.58	4.76	5.27
	1.57	4.61	5.12	Watch
	1.57	4.4	5	Watch
	1.57	4.65	5.05	Watch
	1.55	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	4.6 ↑ (4.51)	5.06 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamburger SV
60.6%

Draw
20.6%

Greuther Fürth
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

20.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

20.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	21.4%	0%

Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. 28. Muheim M. 23. Meffert J. 29. Sahiti E. 17. Karabec A. 10. Pherai I. 7. Dompe J. 27. Selke D.	42. Schulze M. (G) 18. Meyerhofer M. 23. Jung G. 33. Dietz M. 2. Asta S. 6. Banse S. 37. Green J. 17. Giesselmann N. 10. Hrgota B. 8. Mustapha S. 9. Futkeu N.
Substitutes
30. Hefti S. 18. Jatta B. 33. Katterbach N. 12. Mickel T. (G) 24. Perrin L. 6. Poreba L. 20. Richter M. 49. Stange O. 36. Suhonen A.	27. Itter G. 11. Massimo R. 4. Michalski D. 22. Motika N. 36. Muller P. 5. Munz R. 43. Prufrock S. (G) 7. Srbeny D. 19. Wagner M.
Coaches
Polzin M.	Siewert J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Hadzikadunic D. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
11', 2 - 0, Selke D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
13', 3 - 0, Karabec A. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
24', Pherai I. 🟨,
35', Mustapha S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Green J. ↓, Srbeny D. ↑,
46', Mustapha S. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
54', Hadzikadunic D. 🟨,
59', 4 - 0, Selke D. ⚽, Mikelbrencis W. (A),
65', Pherai I. ↓, Poreba L. ↑,
65', Sahiti E. ↓, Katterbach N. ↑,
70', Banse S. ↓, Muller P. ↑,
74', Selke D. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
74', Meffert J. ↓, Suhonen A. ↑,
76', 5 - 0, Stange O. ⚽, Suhonen A. (A),
81', Futkeu N. ↓, Munz R. ↑,
81', Giesselmann N. ↓, Michalski D. ↑,
81', Karabec A. ↓, Richter M. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D. (Red Card) Glatzel R. (Tendon Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand)

There will not play in Fürth: Calhanoglu K. (Knee Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:7 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 1.1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.24	Ulm 1846 - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Hamburger SV - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	1:3 ✺
23.11.24	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hamburger SV	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWTL
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
15.12.24	Greuther Fürth - Hannover	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Ulm 1846 - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher	2:3 ✺
09.11.24	Köln - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
31.03.24	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	1:1
21.10.23	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	2:0
20.05.23	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	2:1
09.11.22	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	1:0
13.02.21	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	0:0
17.10.20	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	0:1
17.05.20	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	2:2

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