The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves 49.1%
Draw 24.2%
SJK 26.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.1%
26.1%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
26.6%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Ilves - SJK Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Krkalic F. (G) 24. Kumpu V. 16. Miettunen T. 3. Rale M. 19. Bamba G. 14. Popovitch A. (C) 33. Sacko Y. 13. Wallius K. 22. Multala O. 17. Baranov S. 9. Hytonen T.
60. James S. (G) 5. Vaisto O. 28. Nwanege K. 2. Costantini F. 6. Yussif S. 48. Traore A. 8. Bostrom A. 22. Vesterbacka L. 19. Mastokangas E. (C) 27. Vellios A. 7. Kelwin
Substitutes
11. Coulibaly H. 28. Kilo J. 27. Kouakou F. 31. Leislahti R. (G) 6. Raap Y. 72. Rasanen A. 8. Stjopin M. 25. Suvanne S. 45. Tamminen E.
43. Bagayogo S. 51. Cisse A. 54. Kangaskokko T. 15. Mommo E. 14. Murilo Henrique 1. Paunio R. (G) 9. Streng J. 37. Tollinen T. 35. Viitala J. (G)
Coaches
Speranza C.
Wiss J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Costantini F. 🟨,
41', James S. 🟨,
41', Popovitch A. 🟨,
43', Hytonen T. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 1 - 0, Hytonen T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hytonen T. ↓, Tamminen E. ↑,
50', Nwanege K. 🟨,
61', Yussif S. ↓, Tollinen T. ↑,
61', Vesterbacka L. ↓, Kangaskokko T. ↑,
61', Vellios A. ↓, Mommo E. ↑,
61', Mastokangas E. ↓, Murilo Henrique ↑,
62', Multala O. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
70', Baranov S. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
71', Sacko Y. ↓, Coulibaly H. ↑,
77', Kelwin ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
82', Tamminen E. 🟨,
85', Wallius K. ↓, Kouakou F. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Tamminen E. ⚽, Bamba G. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Ilves may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Ilves is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Ilves: Vaisanen S.
(Yellow Cards).
Confirmed absences for SJK: Bjorkskog A.
(Knee Injury)
Caio Araujo
(Inactive)
Moisio J.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:37 (averaging 1.7:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with 24:21 goals (averaging 2:1.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
SJK - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.85%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.