Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Ilves		SJK

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.65	3.20
	2.07	3.64	3.43
	2.06	3.61	3.38	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.35
	2.05	3.60	3.29	Watch
	1.99	3.50	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)	3.31 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
46%

Draw
25.9%

SJK
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

SJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ilves - SJK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Ilves may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Ilves is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:37 (averaging 1.7:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with 24:21 goals (averaging 2:1.8 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

SJK - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.85%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.10.26	IFK Mariehamn - Ilves	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	TPS - Ilves	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Ilves - Lahti	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Ilves - FF Jaro	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Ilves - HJK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWWL
- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.10.26	SJK - Lahti	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	SJK - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	FF Jaro - SJK	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	TPS - SJK	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Oulu - SJK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.26	Ilves - SJK	2:2
02.05.26	SJK - Ilves	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
18.02.26	Ilves - SJK	3:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
03.11.25	Ilves - SJK	3:3
04.10.25	SJK - Ilves	2:1
05.07.25	SJK - Ilves	1:1
18.06.25	Ilves - SJK	2:3

Ilves - SJK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide