Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 14

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: OmaSp Stadion (Seinajoki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Onefootball


	SJK		TPS

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.70	4.00	Watch
	1.78	3.80	4.00
	1.68	3.80	4.35
	1.84	4.10	4.20
	1.69	3.95	4.69	Watch
	1.78	4.00	4.15
	1.78	3.78	4.08	Watch
	1.73	3.70	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 (1.75)	3.85 ↓ (3.87)	4.18 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SJK
53.4%

Draw
24.3%

TPS
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

24.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

SJK - TPS Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - SJK (1.18) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - SJK (1.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - SJK (1.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - SJK (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: SJK will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. SJK (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paunio R. (G) 26. Moisio J. 32. Yakubu S. 5. Vaisto O. (C) 23. Wilson A. 17. Tessilimi O. 18. Arsalo M. 31. Onuoha E. 7. Kelwin 10. Paananen K. 9. Streng J.	1. Henriksson E. (G) 2. Haggstrom O. 14. Hradecky M. 17. Sihvonen A. (C) 3. Turkki E. 6. Juvanteny P. 26. Ikonen L. 22. Zaal T. 10. Konkkola M. 29. Muzaci A. 11. Vauhkonen E.
Substitutes
43. Bagayogo S. 8. Bostrom A. 29. Fanne M. 33. Machaal A. 19. Mastokangas E. 99. Rangel 47. Suso M. 35. Viitala J. (G) 6. Yussif S.	41. Anini S. 15. Azongnitode C. 8. Coulibaly A. 77. Karkulowski T. 20. Kauppila M. 35. Lauri D. (G) 28. Vakiparta T. 44. Veinbergs N. 99. Visser K.
Coaches
Wiss J.	Pinol I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Onuoha E. 🟨,
29', Kelwin 🟨,
36', Paananen K. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Kelwin ⚽, Streng J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ikonen L. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Muzaci A. ⚽, Konkkola M. (A),
58', Wilson A. ↓, Yussif S. ↑,
58', Tessilimi O. ↓, Bostrom A. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Yakubu S. ⚽,
70', Kelwin ↓, Rangel ↑,
70', Paananen K. ↓, Suso M. ↑,
74', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Anini S. ↑,
74', Konkkola M. ↓, Veinbergs N. ↑,
74', Sihvonen A. ↓, Karkulowski T. ↑,
75', Moisio J. ↓, Mastokangas E. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Suso M. ⚽, Yakubu S. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, SJK is the team to beat.

There will not play in SJK: Bjorkskog A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in TPS: Tsirigotis T. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, SJK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, SJK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

SJK - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.67%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SJK Seinajoki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.26	Ilves - SJK	2:2 ✺
23.06.26	Inter Turku - SJK	1:1 ✺
17.06.26	SJK - VPS Vaasa	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Lahti - SJK	2:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
10.06.26	SJK - Inter Turku	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTLWL
- TPS
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.26	TPS - FF Jaro	3:2 ✺
23.06.26	Lahti - TPS	0:0 ✺
17.06.26	TPS - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Ilves - TPS	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	TPS - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.04.26	TPS - SJK	2:0
Club Friendly
11.03.23	SJK - TPS	3:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.10.20	TPS - SJK	1:0
01.07.20	SJK - TPS	1:0
Club Friendly
15.03.19	TPS - SJK	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.09.18	SJK - TPS	1:0
12.06.18	SJK - TPS	4:0

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