Match Info

National League South - Round 26

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Eastbourne Borough		Horsham

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.3	2.78
	2.33	3.59	2.76	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.8
	2.33	3.24	2.77
	2.28	3.33	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.8)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	2.79 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
39.7%

Draw
27.4%

Horsham
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.6%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26.9%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eastbourne Borough's performance.

Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Horsham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastbourne Borough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Horsham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eastbourne Borough - Horsham Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Eastbourne (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Horsham (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Horsham (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Eastbourne (votes: 2 - 50%). Horsham (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Meekums R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 2, Murphy R. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Eastbourne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Horsham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastbourne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Horsham FC	12	3	6	3	14:15	-1	15

Outrights of English National League South for now

Horsham FC: 0.93%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
03.01.26	Slough Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough	3:4 ✺
26.12.25	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Dover Athletic - Eastbourne Borough	2:5 ✺
13.12.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWL
- Horsham FC
English National League South
03.01.26	Horsham - Maidenhead United	1:2 ✺
30.12.25	Horsham - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
26.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Horsham	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Horsham - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Horsham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.09.25	Horsham - Eastbourne Borough	2:0
English FA Cup
05.10.21	Eastbourne Borough - Horsham	0:1
02.10.21	Horsham - Eastbourne Borough	2:2
Club Friendly
23.07.19	Eastbourne Borough - Horsham	4:2

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