Match Info

1st Division - Round 15

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Nordstern Arena Horsens (Horsens)

Referee: Uslu A. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Horsens		HB Køge

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.65	6.55
	1.39	4.76	6.36	Watch
	1.42	4.5	6.79	Watch
	1.42	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.63 ↑ (4.53)	6.48 ↑ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsens
65.8%

Draw
20%

HB Køge
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.6%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

19.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for HB Køge aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Horsens - HB Køge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Horsens (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Horsens will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delac M. (C) 4. Hausner S. 24. Kolskogen O. 12. Tape C. 28. Saine A. 32. Olsen P. 30. Doua S. 7. Milicevic I. 29. Brandhof F. 9. Baturina R. 10. Kirkegaard K.	29. Sommergaard N. (G) 16. Hald S. 23. Westergren M. 2. Bust L. 3. Larsen S. 7. Jensen M. (C) 28. Larsen G. 6. Brodersen R. 17. Alkhoudari B. 20. Gothler A. 10. Jensen Tue C.
Substitutes
5. Bruus A. 33. Ludwig A. 20. Lusavec K. 14. Madsen J. 27. Ouorou Y. 26. Palsson V. 11. Pingel S. 25. Sene F. 23. Smarsch D. (G)	31. Choukri A. 27. Dorgu I. 34. Fris M. 22. Jakobsen M. 35. Lund R. 24. Rasmussen M. 18. Salah M. 26. Schmidt L. 12. Talyspayev D. (G)
Coaches
Nielsen D.	Pedersen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Tape C. ⚽, Kirkegaard K. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Jensen M. (Pen),
45', 2 - 1, Baturina R. ⚽, Kirkegaard K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Doua S. ↓, Pingel S. ↑,
49', Kolskogen O. ↓, Palsson V. ↑,
54', Jensen M. 🟨,
61', Kirkegaard K. 🟨,
68', Westergren M. 🟨,
69', Milicevic I. ↓, Madsen J. ↑,
69', Baturina R. ↓, Lusavec K. ↑,
71', Westergren M. ↓, Jakobsen M. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Jensen M. ⚽, Brodersen R. (A),
79', Alkhoudari B. ↓, Salah M. ↑,
79', Larsen G. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
82', Hausner S. ↓, Bruus A. ↑,
90+2', Brodersen R. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 3, Hald S. ⚽, Dorgu I. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 1.

Horsens has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Køge is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Køge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Horsens is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
24.10.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Horsens	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Middelfart - Horsens	0:3 ✺
03.10.25	Horsens - Hobro	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Hillerød - Horsens	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Horsens - Esbjerg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWTLW
- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
23.10.25	Hvidovre - HB Køge	3:1 ✺
17.10.25	HB Køge - Kolding IF	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Aalborg BK - HB Køge	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	HB Køge - Hvidovre	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Lyngby BK - HB Køge	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
13.09.25	HB Køge - Horsens	1:0
24.11.24	Horsens - HB Køge	0:0
11.08.24	HB Køge - Horsens	0:2
01.06.24	Horsens - HB Køge	1:1
01.04.24	HB Køge - Horsens	5:0
03.11.23	HB Køge - Horsens	1:4
04.08.23	Horsens - HB Køge	2:0

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