Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 19

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Nordstern Arena Horsens (Horsens)

Referee: Svendsen F. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Horsens		Roskilde

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.25	7
	1.34	4.95	8.45	Watch
	1.35	5.01	9.76
	1.37	4.76	8.08	Watch
	1.3	5	8
	1.36	5.23	6.98	Watch
	1.33	4.95	8.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.22)	5.02 ↓ (6.33)	8.17 ↓ (11.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsens
69.8%

Draw
18.7%

Roskilde
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.1%

14.8%

8.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Horsens's form might have worsened.

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Horsens - Roskilde Predictions

Users Predictions: Horsens will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Djukic F. (G) 25. Kallesoe M. 13. Fenger M. 24. Kolskogen O. 14. Madsen J. 22. Frederiksen E. 18. Christensen F. 17. Herdonsson A. 11. Pingel S. 9. Hyseni M. 10. Ngabo S.	1. Schram F. (G) 26. Lysholm M. 2. Juhl M. 4. Skolnik O. 3. Jensen Juul O. 6. Halse N. 14. Nyegaard K. 10. Arabaci R. 18. Maarup A. 15. Taranis A. 9. Uhd M.
Substitutes
26. Asgeir G. G. 1. Delac M. (G) 21. Karikari K. 15. Kjaergaard O. 33. Ludwig A. 20. Lusavec K. 16. Moro S. A. 34. Roslyng F. 28. Saine A.	25. Engqvist F. 27. Faester A. 34. Halsgaard A. 16. Jensen A. (G) 22. Kasper H. 8. Kristensen M. 7. Nielsen E. 12. Vesterbaek N.
Coaches
Retov M.	Johannsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 0, Pingel S. ⚽, Herdonsson A. (A),
62', Herdonsson A. 🟨,
64', Ngabo S. ↓, Kjaergaard O. ↑,
64', Hyseni M. ↓, Karikari K. ↑,
65', Uhd M. ↓, Nielsen E. ↑,
65', Arabaci R. ↓, Faester A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Faester A. ⚽, Halse N. (A),
72', 1 - 2, Maarup A. ⚽,
74', Herdonsson A. ↓, Lusavec K. ↑,
79', Juhl M. ↓, Kasper H. ↑,
80', Frederiksen E. ↓, Asgeir G. G. ↑,
80', Kallesoe M. ↓, Saine A. ↑,
85', Kasper H. 🟨,
85', Maarup A. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,
86', Taranis A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

Roskilde is 1st Division (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsens won 4.

Horsens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Horsens is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Horsens won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Horsens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Horsens
Club Friendly
14.02.25	Strømsgodset - Horsens	0:0 ✺
Danish 1 Division
29.11.24	Kolding IF - Horsens	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Horsens - HB Køge	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	OB Odense - Horsens	3:2 ✺
01.11.24	Horsens - B.93 Copenhagen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTLW
- FC Roskilde
Club Friendly
01.02.25	BK Frem - Roskilde	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Fremad Amager - Roskilde	0:1 ✺
Danish 1 Division
30.11.24	Roskilde - Fredericia	0:2 ✺
22.11.24	Hvidovre - Roskilde	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Esbjerg - Roskilde	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
20.08.24	Roskilde - Horsens	1:2
17.04.16	Horsens - Roskilde	2:1
06.11.15	Roskilde - Horsens	0:1
06.06.15	Roskilde - Horsens	1:2
15.03.15	Horsens - Roskilde	1:2
17.09.14	Roskilde - Horsens	0:1

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