Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Roskilde Idrætspark (Roskilde)

Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Roskilde		Fredericia

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.9	1.8	Watch
	3.75	3.9	1.75
	3.7	3.95	1.84	Watch
	3.93	4.16	1.86
	3.86	3.99	1.8	Watch
	3.7	3.8	1.73
	4.58	4.64	1.59	Watch
	3.7	3.95	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↓ (4.47)	4.04 ↓ (4.05)	1.78 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
24.1%

Draw
23.2%

Fredericia
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

23.1%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

22.1%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredericia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Roskilde - Fredericia Predictions

Users Predictions: Fredericia will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brylov M. (G) 26. Lysholm M. 12. Vesterbaek N. 4. Skolnik O. 3. Jensen Juul O. 14. Nyegaard K. 23. Fraulo G. 7. Nielsen E. 18. Maarup A. 10. Arabaci R. 15. Taranis A.	90. Birkso V. (G) 14. Dahl A. 5. Rieper F. 4. Kudsk J. 17. Kristjansson D. F. 13. Madsen W. 6. Winther F. 21. Lindekilde J. 97. Buch O. 16. Bondergaard A. 11. Opondo M.
Substitutes
11. Baskaya S. 22. Damkjaer J. 25. Engqvist F. 27. Faester A. 6. Halse N. 30. Hjorth Reenberg O. (G) 2. Juhl M. 24. Svensson V. 17. Winkel M.	3. Andersen A. 19. Dall E. 20. Haarbo D. 8. Jessen J. 1. Lamhauge M. (G) 2. Thogersen D.
Coaches
Theil A.	Hansen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Madsen W. ↓, Jessen J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Lindekilde J. ⚽,
49', Nyegaard K. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Bondergaard A. ⚽, Buch O. (A),
65', Jensen Juul O. ↓, Halse N. ↑,
65', Arabaci R. ↓, Winkel M. ↑,
65', Nielsen E. ↓, Engqvist F. ↑,
71', Opondo M. ↓, Dall E. ↑,
71', Dahl A. ↓, Andersen A. ↑,
78', Maarup A. ↓, Faester A. ↑,
83', Taranis A. ↓, Baskaya S. ↑,
85', Fraulo G. 🟨,
86', Buch O. ↓, Thogersen D. ↑,
86', Winther F. ↓, Haarbo D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Roskilde is 1st Division (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 2.

Roskilde is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fredericia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fredericia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fredericia is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33:25 (average 1.9:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Roskilde won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:15 (average 1.6:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
22.11.24	Hvidovre - Roskilde	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Esbjerg - Roskilde	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Roskilde - Kolding IF	0:1 ✺
25.10.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Roskilde	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Roskilde - OB Odense	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWL
- FC Fredericia
Danish 1 Division
24.11.24	Fredericia - Kolding IF	1:0 ✺
08.11.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Fredericia	0:5 ✺
03.11.24	Fredericia - OB Odense	1:4 ✺
27.10.24	Hobro - Fredericia	1:4 ✺
19.10.24	Esbjerg - Fredericia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
16.08.24	Fredericia - Roskilde	3:2
19.07.20	Roskilde - Fredericia	1:0
06.11.19	Fredericia - Roskilde	2:0
01.09.19	Roskilde - Fredericia	1:2
19.05.19	Roskilde - Fredericia	3:2
04.11.18	Fredericia - Roskilde	1:7
05.08.18	Roskilde - Fredericia	0:3

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