Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 17

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday

Location: Hvidovre Stadium (Hvidovre)

Referee: Funder S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hvidovre		Roskilde

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4	5
	1.58	4.3	5	Watch
	1.6	4.08	5.48
	1.6	3.95	5.34	Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.59	4.05	5.3	Watch
	1.58	4.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)	4.09 ↓ (4.23)	5.27 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hvidovre
59.6%

Draw
22.8%

Roskilde
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

16%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hvidovre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hvidovre than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hvidovre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roskilde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hvidovre - Roskilde Predictions

Users Predictions: Hvidovre will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Djukic F. (G) 15. Iljazovski A. 5. Olsen M. 28. Jungvig N. 25. Kiilerich M. 88. Krogstad F. 6. Gemmer J. 10. Spelmann M. 14. Jakobsen Ch. 9. Hogh Jensen F. 24. Makienok S.	1. Brylov M. (G) 2. Juhl M. 12. Vesterbaek N. 4. Skolnik O. 3. Jensen Juul O. 23. Fraulo G. 6. Halse N. (C) 10. Arabaci R. 7. Nielsen E. 18. Maarup A. 15. Taranis A.
Substitutes
16. Adjei-Broni J. P. 27. Andreasen M. 30. Fredslund M. 8. Gehrt M. 19. Johansen A. 18. Knudsen M. 21. Meibom B. 29. Ravn A. (G) 7. Singh J.	9. Baskaya S. 22. Damkjaer J. 25. Engqvist F. 27. Faester A. 30. Hjorth Reenberg O. (G) 8. Kristensen M. 14. Nyegaard K. 24. Svensson V. 17. Winkel M.
Coaches
Frandsen P.	Theil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Arabaci R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Vesterbaek N. 🟨,
58', Gemmer J. ↓, Singh J. ↑,
58', Jungvig N. ↓, Johansen A. ↑,
60', Arabaci R. ↓, Damkjaer J. ↑,
73', Hogh Jensen F. ↓, Gehrt M. ↑,
74', Jakobsen Ch. ↓, Adjei-Broni J. P. ↑,
76', Nielsen E. ↓, Baskaya S. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Johansen A. ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, Adjei-Broni J. P. (Pen),
84', Halse N. ↓, Engqvist F. ↑,
84', Juhl M. ↓, Faester A. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hvidovre won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Hvidovre is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hvidovre won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:17 (average 0.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Hvidovre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hvidovre IF
Danish 1 Division
10.11.24	HB Køge - Hvidovre	1:0 ✺
01.11.24	Hillerød - Hvidovre	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Hvidovre - Vendsyssel	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Horsens - Hvidovre	2:1 ✺
07.10.24	Hvidovre - Kolding IF	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLT
- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
10.11.24	Esbjerg - Roskilde	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Roskilde - Kolding IF	0:1 ✺
25.10.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Roskilde	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Roskilde - OB Odense	1:5 ✺
04.10.24	Hobro - Roskilde	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
13.09.24	Roskilde - Hvidovre	2:0
25.07.20	Hvidovre - Roskilde	0:0
10.11.19	Roskilde - Hvidovre	0:2
25.08.19	Hvidovre - Roskilde	3:2
28.04.19	Roskilde - Hvidovre	1:1
17.03.19	Hvidovre - Roskilde	0:2
23.09.18	Roskilde - Hvidovre	3:0

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