Match Info

National League South - Round 33

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Arbour Park (Slough)


	Slough Town		Horsham

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.5	2.92
	2.09	3.62	3.24
	2.1	3.69	3.11	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.13	3.74	3.01
	2.08	3.4	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.32)	3.56 ↓ (3.66)	3.09 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slough Town
44%

Draw
26%

Horsham
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

25.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

24.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slough Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Slough Town - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

Slough is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Horsham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Horsham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Slough won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Horsham FC: 1.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Horsham FC	9	2	5	2	9:10	-1	11
24	Slough	10	1	1	8	10:24	-14	4

Last Results with these Odds

Slough Town - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Horsham - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.55%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slough Town
English National League South
10.02.26	Slough Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Maidstone United - Slough Town	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	5:0 ✺
24.01.26	Slough Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.6 WWWLW
- Horsham FC
English National League South
10.02.26	Horsham - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	Scunthorpe United - Horsham	1:2 ✺
English National League South
24.01.26	Horsham - Chelmsford City	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Worthing - Horsham	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Leatherhead - Horsham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
08.11.25	Horsham - Slough Town	1:0

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