Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Lewes

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.8	4.1
	1.63	3.9	4.3
	1.67	4.08	4.4
	1.63	4.05	4.38
	1.64	3.8	4.46
	1.63	3.9	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.17)	3.92 ↑ (3.62)	4.32 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
55.7%

Draw
23.3%

Lewes
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

25.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horsham's performance.

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lewes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Horsham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lewes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Horsham - Lewes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lewes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Hester-Cook C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', Ojemen P. 🟥,
77', 2 - 0, Hammond J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsham won 1.

Horsham in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lewes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Horsham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Horsham won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Horsham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.10.24	Horsham - Whitehawk	5:0 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Horsham - Gorleston	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Leiston - Horsham	1:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Horsham - Margate	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Margate - Horsham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWT
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.10.24	Lewes - Billericay Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Lewes - Bracknell Town	6:3 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.09.24	Potters Bar Town - Lewes	5:0 ✺
24.09.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Lewes	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Lewes - Hastings United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.04.24	Lewes - Horsham	2:1
24.02.24	Horsham - Lewes	1:3
14.02.23	Lewes - Horsham	1:1
13.09.22	Horsham - Lewes	2:0
27.12.21	Horsham - Lewes	1:3
30.08.21	Lewes - Horsham	0:0
01.01.20	Horsham - Lewes	3:0

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