Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 9

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Whitehawk

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.2
	1.7	3.7	4.2
	1.7	4.08	4.18
	1.67	4.01	4.15
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.66	3.74	4.37
	1.7	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	3.78 ↓ (3.92)	4.21 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
54.3%

Draw
24.1%

Whitehawk
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

23.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

22.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Whitehawk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitehawk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Horsham - Whitehawk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Harding L. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 0, Meekums R. ⚽,
45+13', 3 - 0, Fenelon S. ⚽,
45+17', 4 - 0, Ogunwamide O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 5 - 0, Hammond J. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 and 17).

Horsham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Whitehawk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Whitehawk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Horsham is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Horsham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Horsham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Horsham - Gorleston	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Leiston - Horsham	1:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Horsham - Margate	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Margate - Horsham	1:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.09.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Horsham	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTL
- Whitehawk
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.10.24	Whitehawk - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Potters Bar Town - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.09.24	Whitehawk - Potters Bar Town	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Whitehawk - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Lewes - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.24	Horsham - Whitehawk	0:1
28.08.23	Whitehawk - Horsham	3:1

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