Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Käerjéng 97		Hostert

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	3.53	2.97
	3.26	3.81	1.95	Watch
	2.26	3.48	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.29)	3.61 ↑ (3.52)	2.54 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Käerjéng 97
36.6%

Draw
26.2%

Hostert
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

25.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

24.8%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Käerjéng 97 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Käerjéng 97 than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Käerjéng 97 - Hostert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez C. (G) 10. Barbaro V. 19. Bellali Y. 29. Boutrif I. 20. Ewert T. 3. Gerson L. 13. Lecomte E. 7. Maison B. 21. Moutschen R. 16. Povoa D. 5. Ubaldini G.	29. Gomes Y. (G) 80. Altun S. 20. Baiverlin C. 11. Bekkouche S. 22. Bernardy L. 31. Derbali R. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 19. Mendes E. 7. Rodrigues K. 21. Yans M.
Substitutes
14. Bayilu Bonyonya J. 22. Campos N. (G) 6. Ewert N. 30. Klein B. 18. Lourenco S. 9. Mabwati I. 26. Schroeder T.	67. Ahmeti D. 37. Ales B. 28. Almeida Borges B. 25. Caufriez A. 45. Cungs L. 1. da Silva T. (G) 97. Quinol K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Rodrigues K. ⚽, Altun S. (A),
11', Mendes E. 🟨,
13', Moutschen R. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Altun S. ⚽, Rodrigues K. (A),
44', Derbali R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Boutrif I. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Yans M. 🟨,
65', Bellali Y. ↓, Mabwati I. ↑,
66', Ewert N. 🟨,
72', 2 - 2, Boutrif I. ⚽, Mabwati I. (A),
77', Altun S. ↓, Caufriez A. ↑,
81', Maison B. ↓, Bayilu Bonyonya J. ↑,
81', Boutrif I. ↓, Lourenco S. ↑,
87', 🟨,
87', Ewert T. 🟨,
90', Povoa D. ↓, Klein B. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Käerjéng 97 won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Käerjéng 97 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Käerjéng 97 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Käerjéng 97
Luxembourg National Division
01.10.25	UNA Strassen - Käerjéng 97	4:0 ✺
28.09.25	Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn	3:4 ✺
13.09.25	Käerjéng 97 - Pétange	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Victoria Rosport - Käerjéng 97	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Käerjéng 97 - Swift Hesperange	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLL
- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
01.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Hostert	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Hostert - Differdange 03	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	UNA Strassen - Hostert	4:0 ✺
23.08.25	Hostert - Jeunesse Canach	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.25	Hostert - Käerjéng 97	1:3
28.07.24	Käerjéng 97 - Hostert	0:3
Luxembourg National Division
31.05.24	Käerjéng 97 - Hostert	1:3 ET
26.02.23	Käerjéng 97 - Hostert	0:0
26.08.22	Hostert - Käerjéng 97	0:1
01.03.15	Hostert - Käerjéng 97	3:0
17.08.14	Käerjéng 97 - Hostert	2:0

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