The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Houston Dynamo 45.4%
Draw 26.6%
FC Dallas 28%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.3%
26%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
27%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Houston Dynamo - FC Dallas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 11. Ennali L. 5. Lucas Halter 34. Resch A. 21. Negri F. 18. Samassekou D. 6. Artur (C) 16. Herrera H. 19. Bogusz M. 9. Foster L. 20. Guilherme
42. Daniel (G) 18. Moore S. 25. Ibeagha S. 32. Norris N. 14. Johansson H. 17. Ramiro 12. Cappis C. 77. Kamungo B. 8. Delgado P. 7. Job D. 9. Musa P.
Substitutes
24. Aliyu I. 3. Antonio Carlos 22. Arana M. 30. Bouzat A. 26. Gillingham B. (G) 14. Holmes D. 17. Markanich N. 23. McGuire D. 4. Saracchi M.
5. Abubakar L. 6. Binyamin R. 33. Holstad C. 10. Moreno S. 28. Sarver S. 40. Sirois J. (G) 27. Swann C. 3. Urhoghide O. 21. Valiente J.
Coaches
Olsen B.
Quill E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Cappis C. ⚽, Job D. (A),
27', Resch A. 🟨,
27', Negri F. 🟨,
29', Musa P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Herrera H. ⚽, Guilherme (A),
59', Ibeagha S. 🟨,
60', Samassekou D. 🟨,
61', Samassekou D. ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
61', Job D. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
61', Delgado P. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
72', Foster L. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
79', Johansson H. ↓, Binyamin R. ↑,
88', Ennali L. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
88', Guilherme ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
89', Kamungo B. ↓, Sarver S. ↑,
90', Lucas Halter 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 1, Bogusz M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', Bogusz M. 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 2, Musa P. (Penalty Awarded),
90+13', Sarver S. 🟥,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Houston (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Dallas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Dallas has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Houston is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Houston: Felipe Andrade
(Injury)
Maurer J.
(Concussion).
Confirmed absences for Dallas: Farrington L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Julio Santos A. A.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Dallas: Geovane Jesus
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Houston has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:35 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Houston against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
FC Dallas: 4.62% Houston Dynamo: 4.08%
Last Results with these Odds
Houston Dynamo - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.3%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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Bond J. (G) 
Ennali L. 
Lucas Halter 
Resch A. 
Samassekou D. 
Herrera H. 
Bogusz M. 
Foster L. 
Moore S. 
Johansson H. 
Delgado P. 
Job D. 
Musa P. 
Saracchi M. 
Abubakar L. 
Binyamin R. 
Moreno S. 
Sirois J. (G) 
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