Match Info

MLS

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Houston Dynamo		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.8
	2.62	3.35	2.68	Watch
	2.67	3.5	2.76
	2.27	3.41	3.03	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.9
	2.67	3.34	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.48)	3.39 ↑ (3.29)	2.8 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
38%

Draw
28%

Philadelphia Union
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Houston Dynamo - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Philadelphia Union will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 25. Dorsey G. 22. Ortiz P. 4. Bartlow E. 2. Escobar F. 30. Junior Urso 6. Artur 21. McGlynn J. 27. Kowalczyk S. 10. Ponce E. 9. Lingr O.	76. Rick A. (G) 15. Mbaizo O. 26. Harriel N. 5. Glesnes J. 39. Westfield F. 11. Bedoya A. 8. Bueno J. 4. Lukic J. 14. Rafanello J. 20. Damiani B. 7. Uhre M.
Substitutes
24. Awodesu F. 8. Bassi A. 16. Duenas E. 11. Ennali L. 36. Felipe Andrade 14. Holmes D. 1. Maurer J. (G) 12. Olusanya T. 17. Segal G.	9. Baribo T. 18. Blake A. (G) 25. Donovan C. 21. Jean Jacques D. 29. Makhanya O. 6. Sullivan C. 33. Sullivan Q. 19. Vassilev I. 27. Wagner K.
Coaches
Olsen B.	Carnell B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Bedoya A. ⚽,
17', Mbaizo O. 🟨,
26', Harriel N. 🟨,
34', Uhre M. 🟨,
37', Ponce E. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
38', Escobar F. 🟨,
45+10', 1 - 1, McGlynn J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Uhre M. ↓, Baribo T. ↑,
46', Glesnes J. ↓, Makhanya O. ↑,
46', Lukic J. ↓, Jean Jacques D. ↑,
46', Dorsey G. 🟨,
49', Lingr O. 🟨,
58', Mbaizo O. ↓, Wagner K. ↑,
69', Escobar F. ↓, Felipe Andrade ↑,
69', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
73', Bedoya A. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
74', Westfield F. 🟨,
90+1', Lingr O. ↓, Segal G. ↑,
90+1', Rafanello J. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
90+9', Westfield F. 🟥,
90+10', Dorsey G. ↓, Duenas E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Houston: Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Houston won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
MLS
16.07.25	Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:3 ✺
12.07.25	Real Salt Lake - Houston Dynamo	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	San Diego - Houston Dynamo	3:4 ✺
28.06.25	Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City	1:0 ✺
25.06.25	Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWL
- Philadelphia Union
MLS
16.07.25	Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
25.06.25	Chicago Fire - Philadelphia Union	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
30.07.22	Philadelphia Union - Houston Dynamo	6:0
11.08.19	Philadelphia Union - Houston Dynamo	2:1
US Open Cup
26.09.18	Houston Dynamo - Philadelphia Union	3:0
MLS
25.07.18	Houston Dynamo - Philadelphia Union	1:3
17.05.17	Philadelphia Union - Houston Dynamo	2:0
02.07.16	Houston Dynamo - Philadelphia Union	1:0
20.09.15	Philadelphia Union - Houston Dynamo	2:0

Upcoming Matches