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Current Win Probability
Houston Dynamo 2 54%
Draw 22.4%
Real Monarchs 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
23.9%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
22.8%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Houston Dynamo 2 - Real Monarchs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Erb L. (G) 16. Alan 27. Miller R. 12. Silva V. 14. Betancourt N. 22. Arana M. 17. Herrera D. 8. Gustavo Dohmann (C) 9. Arthur Sousa 39. Mohammad S. 33. Dimareli M.
99. Alphin R. (G) 37. Rivera L. 57. Rios C. 30. Anderson O. 76. O'Gara L. 61. Amparo I. 64. Kropp D. 34. Moisa L. 47. Ewald F. 38. Riquelme A. 50. Djiro L.
Substitutes
11. Bell J. 46. Cottle T. 44. Gardner M. 3. Hata E. 24. Jiana M. 43. Kerimov R. (G) 47. Perez J. 48. Reyes D. 15. Vitor Andre
95. Bawden B. (G) 44. Cowell C. 77. Mesalles R. 46. Murphy I. 88. Ream L. 45. Silva N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Kropp D. 🟥,
10', Djiro L. ↓, Mesalles R. ↑,
16', 1 - 0, Miller R. ⚽, Mohammad S. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Dimareli M. ⚽, Herrera D. (A),
40', Dimareli M. 🟨,
45+2', Herrera D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Herrera D. ↓, Hata E. ↑,
46', Dimareli M. ↓, Bell J. ↑,
46', Rios C. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
46', Rivera L. ↓, Ream L. ↑,
60', O'Gara L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
68', Moisa L. ↓, Murphy I. ↑,
69', Mohammad S. ↓, Cottle T. ↑,
70', Miller R. ↓, Vitor Andre ↑,
74', Silva N. 🟥,
79', Gustavo Dohmann 🟨,
83', 3 - 0, Bell J. ⚽, Silva V. (A),
88', Silva V. ↓, Gardner M. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 3.
Houston Dynamo 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Real Monarchs has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Houston Dynamo 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Houston Dynamo 2 has had a series of home games.
In this match, Houston Dynamo 2 is a strong favorite.
We predict that Houston Dynamo 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 2.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Houston Dynamo 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
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Erb L. (G) 
Alan 
Arana M. 
Ewald F. 
Riquelme A. 
Djiro L. 
Bell J. 
Hata E. 
Perez J. 
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