The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 2 56%
Draw 22.1%
Real Monarchs 21.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
24%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
23.1%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers 2's performance.
Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Monarchs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Joseph S. (G) 16. Jura S. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 94. Ondo C. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 46. Enriquez V. (C) 77. Barjolo B. 73. Izoita E. 53. Ferguson C. 47. Cervantes D.
24. Kerkvliet M. (G) 76. O'Gara L. 55. Calderon G. 3. Henry K. (C) 30. Anderson O. 77. Mesalles R. 61. Amparo I. 38. Riquelme A. 40. Marquez O. 70. Lineker Rodrigues 34. Moisa L.
Substitutes
66. Cruthers C. 22. Fernandez O. 39. Griffith C. 90. Kissel M. 81. Mueller H. 51. Nelson M. (G) 63. Nunez D. 57. VanVoorhis B. 48. Zendejas N.
99. Alphin R. (G) 44. Cowell C. 50. Djiro L. 47. Ewald F. 64. Kropp D. 57. Rios C. 37. Rivera L. 45. Silva N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Amparo I. 🟨,
35', O'Gara L. 🟨,
41', Fernandez-Kim L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Marquez O. 🟨,
59', Barjolo B. ↓, Griffith C. ↑,
65', Lineker Rodrigues 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Cervantes D. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Fernandez-Kim L. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
67', Cervantes D. ↓, Kissel M. ↑,
70', Amparo I. ↓, Ewald F. ↑,
75', Enriquez V. 🟨,
77', Henry K. 🟨,
78', Moisa L. ↓, Djiro L. ↑,
84', Mesalles R. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
88', Izoita E. 🟨,
90+3', Anderson O. 🟨,
90+4', Enriquez V. ↓, Cruthers C. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 1.
Portland 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Real Monarchs has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Monarchs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Portland 2 has had a series of away games.
In this match, Portland 2 is considered a favorite.
We predict that Portland 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 25:47. (average 1.3:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
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Joseph S. (G) 
Bamford A. 
Lund N. 
Ondo C. 
Cervantes D. 
Calderon G. 
Henry K. (C) 
Riquelme A. 
Lineker Rodrigues 
Griffith C. 
Djiro L. 
Ewald F. 
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