The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 2 50.9%
Draw 24.1%
Real Monarchs 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
23.6%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
22.9%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
St. Louis City 2 - Real Monarchs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Welsh C. (G) 59. Joyner M. 66. Lillington Z. (C) 98. De Gannes A. 43. Paris S. 28. Perez M. 33. Pearce T. 57. Jorgensen O. 68. Jundt A. 91. Zengue Z. 42. Ault P.
24. Kerkvliet M. (G) 57. Rios C. 3. Henry K. (C) 64. Kropp D. 77. Mesalles R. 40. Marquez O. 61. Amparo I. 30. Anderson O. 47. Ewald F. 34. Moisa L. 50. Djiro L.
Substitutes
79. Chavez E. 83. Cornelius L. 54. Gbadehan A. 48. Lynch R. 53. Marion S. 50. Martinez N. (G) 88. McDonald P. 41. Pearson C. 49. Pickering N.
99. Alphin R. (G) 44. Cowell C. 88. Ream L. 38. Riquelme A. 37. Rivera L. 45. Silva N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Lillington Z. 🟨,
24', Jundt A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kropp D. 🟨,
46', Pearce T. ↓, Lynch R. ↑,
46', Moisa L. ↓, Riquelme A. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Zengue Z. ⚽,
58', Marquez O. 🟨,
58', 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, De Gannes A. ⚽,
67', Jundt A. ↓, McDonald P. ↑,
67', Djiro L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
74', Paris S. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
77', Amparo I. ↓, Ream L. ↑,
83', Rios C. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
83', Mesalles R. ↓, Rivera L. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Lynch R. ⚽, Ault P. (A),
86', Jorgensen O. ↓, Marion S. ↑,
86', Perez M. ↓, Gbadehan A. ↑,
87', Cowell C. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
St. Louis City 2 has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Real Monarchs has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
St. Louis City 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, St. Louis City 2 is a strong favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 3:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).