Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: SaberCats Stadium (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Houston Dynamo 2		Tacoma Defiance

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.61	3.75	2.4
	2.57	3.76	2.42	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.3
	2.5	3.52	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.14)	3.61 ↑ (3.55)	2.36 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo 2
35.9%

Draw
25.4%

Tacoma Defiance
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo 2's form might have worsened.

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tacoma Defiance's recent form is better than expected.

Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Gillingham B. (G) 32. Wiesner T. 23. Barrett D. 36. Felipe Andrade 5. Resch A. 8. Gustavo Dohmann 6. Rivera G. 33. Dimareli M. 22. Arana M. 71. Markanich N. 7. Brummett A.	41. Shour M. (G) 40. O'Neill M. 35. Lopez A. 80. Brown D. 48. Phoenix C. 65. Smith B. 32. Gnaulati X. 45. Kingston P. 30. Carli E. 42. Jauregui R. 81. Bronnik M.
Substitutes
9. Arthur Sousa 11. Bell J. 18. Gonzalez D. 17. Herrera D. 39. Mohammad S. 30. Mwakutuya I. 1. Pedro (G) 12. Silva V. 20. Wolff G.	47. Alvarez D. 84. Gaffney C. 79. Gonzalez L. 97. Kitafuji S. 56. Newman N. (G) 34. Robles D. 58. Winslow J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', Gnaulati X. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Dimareli M. ⚽, Markanich N. (A),
43', Markanich N. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Dimareli M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Smith B. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
58', Resch A. 🟨,
60', Felipe Andrade ↓, Mwakutuya I. ↑,
60', Resch A. ↓, Wolff G. ↑,
60', Markanich N. ↓, Silva V. ↑,
67', Phoenix C. ↓, Winslow J. ↑,
68', Bronnik M. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
68', Arana M. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
72', Lopez A. ↓, Kitafuji S. ↑,
74', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
77', 3 - 0, Wolff G. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
82', 4 - 0, Brummett A. ⚽, Silva V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 0.

Houston Dynamo 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 1.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston Dynamo 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo 2
MLS Next Pro
01.03.26	Houston Dynamo 2 - Colorado Rapids 2	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2	5:1 ✺
21.09.25	Houston Dynamo 2 - Portland Timbers 2	3:1 ✺
17.09.25	Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Colorado Rapids 2 - Houston Dynamo 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWLW
- Tacoma Defiance
MLS Next Pro
01.03.26	Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles 2	2:3 penalties ✺
05.10.25	Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2	5:1 ✺
28.09.25	The Town - Tacoma Defiance	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2	1:4 ✺
17.09.25	Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
05.10.25	Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2	5:1
17.09.25	Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance	1:2
29.09.24	Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2	2:0
26.05.24	Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance	2:3
01.10.23	Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2	4:3
02.07.23	Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2	1:0
23.04.23	Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance	1:2

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