Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro


	The Town		Tacoma Defiance

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	5.3	5.9
	1.37	5.35	6.41
	1.43	4.69	6.16	Watch
	1.33	5.1	6.62
	1.38	5.05	5.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	5.1 ↑ (5)	6.15 ↑ (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The Town
67%

Draw
18.1%

Tacoma Defiance
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

18.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

17.7%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The Town - Tacoma Defiance Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Montali F. (G) 72. Ibarra R. 66. Cano A. 27. Eisner W. 2. Ricketts J. 29. Spivey K. 20. Fernandez N. 15. Medina C. 44. Cowell C. 55. Adimabua N. 80. Rodriguez M.	56. Newman N. (G) 38. Yamada K. 4. Burney L. 35. Lopez A. 45. Kingston P. 34. Robles D. 90. Gomez S. 44. Gaffney C. 36. Tsukanome Y. 74. Carli E. 40. Dodzi C.
Substitutes
88. Baptista D. 52. Donnery J. 71. Lynch R. 74. Mbumba A. 38. Mendoza E. 50. Rajagopal R. 97. Ulrich L. (G)	31. Diaw B. 49. Hunter A. 48. Khoury J. 42. Pedder R. 51. Veillard E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', Adimabua N. 🟥,
45+4', 0 - 1, Gaffney C. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Dodzi C. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
51', Lopez A. 🟨,
57', Ricketts J. 🟨,
59', Rodriguez M. ↓, Lynch R. ↑,
59', Cowell C. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
59', Fernandez N. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
63', Gaffney C. ↓, Veillard E. ↑,
71', Spivey K. ↓, Rajagopal R. ↑,
74', Carli E. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
82', Ibarra R. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
86', Medina C. 🟨,
90+4', Veillard E. 🟨,

Preview

The Town is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

The Town has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tacoma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tacoma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, The Town is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 2.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The Town FC
MLS Next Pro
21.09.25	Ventura County - The Town	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - The Town	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	The Town - Portland Timbers 2	3:2 penalties ✺
31.08.25	Minnesota United 2 - The Town	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	The Town - Real Monarchs	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW
- Tacoma Defiance
MLS Next Pro
21.09.25	Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2	1:4 ✺
17.09.25	Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Tacoma Defiance - Austin II	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
03.07.25	Tacoma Defiance - The Town	5:4 penalties
14.03.25	Tacoma Defiance - The Town	3:1
25.08.24	The Town - Tacoma Defiance	2:1 penalties
11.06.24	The Town - Tacoma Defiance	2:1
25.04.24	Tacoma Defiance - The Town	3:2

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