Match Info

Date: 4 November 2020, Wednesday


	Huachipato		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	3.3	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	2	3.65	3.05	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.15
	2.14	3.86	3.14
	2.05	3.6	3.25	Watch
	2.12	3.52	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 (2.05)	3.6 ↑ (3.24)	3.21 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huachipato
45.3%

Draw
25.8%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.1%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

18.8%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huachipato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atletico Fenix Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Huachipato - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.

Recent matches Huachipato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fenix is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Huachipato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Huachipato will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
31.10.20	Huachipato - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huachipato	3:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
20.10.20	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	3:0 ✺
14.10.20	Huachipato - Everton	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Huachipato - Deportes Antofagasta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWT
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huachipato	3:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.10.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
18.10.20	Nacional - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
06.10.20	Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Huachipato	3:1

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