Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 4 June 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio CAP (Talcahuano) 🌤️ ...


	Huachipato		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	3.2	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.35	3.31	2.33
	3.24	3.31	2.33
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.26	3.32	2.31	Watch
	3.1	3.15	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.49)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	2.29 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huachipato
29.6%

Draw
29.2%

Grêmio
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

28.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	21.4%	50%

Huachipato - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Grêmio will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parra M. (G) 2. Castillo A. 3. Gonzales 4. Gazzolo B. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 8. Montes G. 15. Silva S. 18. Gutierrez Jara J. I. 23. Martinez C. 28. Gutierrez M. 9. Rodriguez M.	1. Marchesin A. (G) 6. Reinaldo 4. Walter Kannemann (C) 5. Rodrigo Ely 18. Joao Pedro 23. Pepe 17. Dodi 7. Soteldo Y. 10. Cristaldo F. 13. Everton Galdino 19. Costa D.
Substitutes
21. Brea 7. Briceno M. 22. Carcamo J. 26. Diaz L. 17. Lopez Z. (G) 13. Malanca R. 19. Oyarzun Saravia J. D. 10. Palmezano B. 11. Saez S. 30. Vargas J. 27. Vega F. 14. Villanueva C.	31. Caique (G) 8. Carballo F. 37. Du Queiroz 2. Fabio 53. Gustavo Martins 39. Gustavo Nunes 11. Joao Pedro 26. Mayk 36. Nata 14. Nathan 32. Nathan Fernandes 35. Ronald
Coaches
Troncoso F.	Renato Gaucho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Costa D. ⚽, Cristaldo F. (A),
37', Sepulveda C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Everton Galdino ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
47', Silva S. ↓, Malanca R. ↑,
54', Pepe 🟨,
55', Gonzales 🟨,
58', Gutierrez Jara J. I. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
69', Nathan Fernandes ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
71', Reinaldo 🟨,
72', Gonzales ↓, Saez S. ↑,
72', Castillo A. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
78', Pepe ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
78', Cristaldo F. ↓, Carballo F. ↑,
79', Sepulveda C. ↓, Palmezano B. ↑,
83', Soteldo Y. ↓, Gustavo Martins ↑,
89', Malanca R. 🟨,

Preview

Huachipato is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grêmio is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grêmio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Grêmio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Huachipato won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Copa Libertadores
29.05.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Huachipato	3:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
25.05.24	Huachipato - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Huachipato - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.05.24	The Strongest - Huachipato	4:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
11.05.24	Huachipato - Unión Española	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWLLT
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
01.06.24	Grêmio - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.05.24	Grêmio - The Strongest	4:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.04.24	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.24	Bahia - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
09.04.24	Grêmio - Huachipato	0:2
18.04.13	Huachipato - Grêmio	1:1
14.02.13	Grêmio - Huachipato	1:2

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