The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Huachipato 43.2%
Draw 27.9%
Audax Italiano 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
27.7%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
26.6%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Huachipato - Audax Italiano Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bravo C. (G) 2. Guaiquil G. 5. Caroca R. 14. Vargas N. 27. Velasquez L. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 15. Rodriguez M. 8. Silva S. 11. Figueroa J. 9. Altamirano L. 23. Martinez C.
1. Ahumada T. (C) 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 29. Ortiz M. 4. Pina D. 35. Rebolledo R. 2. Zenteno V. 28. Mateos F. 23. Matus E. 21. Chiaverano G. 11. Troyansky F. 27. Fuentes M.
Substitutes
30. Altez K. 26. Antinirre H. 7. Briceno M. 10. Canete E. 49. Cruzat I. (G) 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 3. Mellado B. 20. Toro C. 51. Torrejon M.
30. Ahumada J. 10. Cabral R. 9. Coelho D. 33. Fuenzalida I. 25. Garrido P. (G) 7. Guajardo P. 20. Jimenez M. 14. Monreal D. 22. Valdes M.
Coaches
Garcia J.
Lema G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
45+3', Velasquez L. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Matus E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', Sepulveda C. ↓, Canete E. ↑,
53', Figueroa J. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Fuentes M. ⚽, Mateos F. (A),
58', 1 - 2, Altamirano L. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
66', 2 - 2, Altamirano L. ⚽, Guaiquil G. (A),
72', Caroca R. 🟨,
75', Altamirano L. 🟨,
77', Chiaverano G. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
77', Troyansky F. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
81', Rodriguez M. ↓, Leon Munoz M. A. ↑,
81', Velasquez L. ↓, Antinirre H. ↑,
85', Guaiquil G. ↓, Altez K. ↑,
85', Zenteno V. ↓, Ahumada J. ↑,
85', Fuentes M. ↓, Coelho D. ↑,
89', Mateos F. 🟨,
90+1', Rebolledo R. ↓, Monreal D. ↑,
90+4', Ahumada J. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 2, Rojas Munoz O. J. (Own goal),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 3.
Huachipato has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Audax Italiano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Audax Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Huachipato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Huachipato
24
10
4
10
34:39
-5
34
12
A. Italiano
23
7
7
9
26:31
-5
28
Last Results with these Odds
Audax Italiano - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.14%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.