Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 9

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero (Talcahuano)

Referee: Gamboa N. (Chi)


	Huachipato		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.95
	2.45	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.23	3.61	3.18
	2.35	3.41	2.89	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.9
	2.38	3.42	2.88	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.21)	3.41 ↑ (3.22)	2.91 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Huachipato
40.2%

Draw
27.5%

Unión Española
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Huachipato - Unión Española Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Huachipato (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Huachipato will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Huachipato (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Odriozola R. (G) 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 5. Caroca R. 44. Vargas N. 26. Diaz L. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 14. Garrido B. 20. Martinez J. A. 7. Briceno M. 9. Altamirano L. 23. Martinez C.	25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 16. Ramirez S. 3. Vidal V. 21. Diaz N. 24. Norambuena G. 6. Jauregui B. 11. Montes C. 19. Vejar B. 7. Ovelar F. 9. Suarez M. 22. Aranguiz P. (C)
Substitutes
21. Brea 16. Conelli V. 11. Figueroa J. 4. Gazzolo B. 28. Gutierrez M. 17. Lopez Z. (G) 8. Silva S.	8. Carvallo U. B. A. 18. Espinoza F. 31. Naranjo L. 1. Parra M. (G) 13. Pereira S. 27. Robles D. 15. Vasquez R.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Sierra Jose L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Briceno M. ⚽, Martinez J. A. (A),
31', Vidal V. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Martinez J. A. ⚽,
35', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 1, Aranguiz P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vejar B. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
49', Altamirano L. 🟨,
66', Martinez C. ↓, Brea ↑,
66', Villanueva C. ↓, Silva S. ↑,
67', Carvallo U. B. A. 🟨,
76', Martinez J. A. ↓, Gazzolo B. ↑,
77', Ovelar F. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
83', Leon Munoz M. A. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
83', Briceno M. ↓, Conelli V. ↑,
90+1', Suarez M. 🟨,
90+2', Brea 🟨,
90+4', Montes C. ↓, Espinoza F. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Huachipato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Unión Española have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28:37 (average 1.4:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Huachipato won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:16 (average 1.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
19.04.25	Huachipato - Cobresal	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Coquimbo Unido - Huachipato	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.04.25	Rangers de Talca - Huachipato	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.03.25	Huachipato - Deportes La Serena	3:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
21.03.25	Huachipato - OHiggins	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTWW
- Unión Española
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Unión Española - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.04.25	Audax Italiano - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Unión Española - Ñublense	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Unión Española - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Unión Española - Palestino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
06.10.24	Unión Española - Huachipato	3:1
11.05.24	Huachipato - Unión Española	2:2
12.08.23	Unión Española - Huachipato	0:1
05.04.23	Huachipato - Unión Española	1:0
29.07.22	Huachipato - Unión Española	2:5
05.03.22	Unión Española - Huachipato	1:0
03.11.21	Huachipato - Unión Española	1:0

Upcoming Matches