Match Info

League One - Round 23

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: John Smith's Stadium (Huddersfield)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)


	Huddersfield Town		Northampton Town

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	7
	1.46	4.45	6.4
	1.46	4.44	6.55	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.47	4.2	6.71	Watch
	1.46	4.33	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.65)	4.24 ↑ (3.63)	6.55 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huddersfield Town
63.9%

Draw
22%

Northampton Town
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

26.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huddersfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Huddersfield Town's performance.

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huddersfield Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huddersfield Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	8%	12%

Huddersfield Town - Northampton Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Huddersfield (votes: 3 - 60%). Northampton (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Huddersfield (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Huddersfield (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Huddersfield Town will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Huddersfield (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Northampton (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nicholls L. (G) 12. Balker R. 5. Low J. 3. Wallace M. 2. Sorensen L. 18. Kasumu D. 4. Ledson R. (C) 24. Castledine L. 23. Roughan S. 26. May A. 25. Radulovic B.	34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 15. Thorniley J. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 16. Wormleighton J. 4. Campbell D. 23. Taylor T. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 8. McGeehan C. 19. Wheatley E. 10. List E.
Substitutes
36. Ashia C. 15. Charles D. 7. Gooch L. 1. Goodman O. (G) 10. Harness M. 11. Roosken R. 8. Wiles B.	1. Burge L. (G) 35. Dyche M. 9. Eaves T. 22. Edwards K. 17. Jacobs M. 11. Swyer K. 6. Willis J.
Coaches
Grant L.	Nolan K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', McGeehan C. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
26', Wheatley E. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
40', Fitzsimons R. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Low J. ⚽, Sorensen L. (A),
45+8', Campbell D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Low J. ↓, Roosken R. ↑,
61', Ledson R. ↓, Harness M. ↑,
62', Taylor T. 🟨,
73', Castledine L. ↓, Wiles B. ↑,
73', May A. ↓, Charles D. ↑,
75', Thorniley J. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
75', Guthrie J. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
76', Taylor T. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Radulovic B. ⚽, Charles D. (A),
88', Radulovic B. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 16).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Huddersfield is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Huddersfield: Alves W. (Foot Injury) Evans A. (Injury) Feeney J. (Inactive) Kane H. (Groin Injury) McGuane M. (Groin Injury) Miller M. (Inactive) Redmond Z. (Knee Injury) Whatmough J. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Northampton: Fornah T. (Inactive) Vale J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Northampton: Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Wormleighton J. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Huddersfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Huddersfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Northampton Town - the odds 4.8 are the expected chance of winning is 19.1%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huddersfield Town
English League One
26.12.25	Huddersfield Town - Port Vale	5:0 ✺
20.12.25	Rotherham United - Huddersfield Town	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Huddersfield Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Northampton Town - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Cardiff City - Huddersfield Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTTL
- Northampton Town
English League One
26.12.25	Burton Albion - Northampton Town	5:1 ✺
19.12.25	Northampton Town - AFC Wimbledon	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Northampton Town - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.12.25	Northampton Town - Huddersfield Town	1:1
01.02.25	Northampton Town - Huddersfield Town	3:2
21.09.24	Huddersfield Town - Northampton Town	1:3

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