Match Info

League One - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)


	Northampton Town		Wycombe Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.96
	3.45	3.35	2.08
	3.56	3.33	2.07	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.05
	3.53	3.43	2.02	Watch
	3.4	3.33	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.28)	3.34 (3.34)	2.05 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
26.8%

Draw
27.8%

Wycombe Wanderers
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

28%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.6%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Wycombe will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wycombe: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wycombe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 35. Dyche M. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 21. Perkins J. 16. Wormleighton J. 23. Taylor T. 4. Campbell D. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 22. Edwards K. 9. Eaves T. 10. List E.	50. Norris W. (G) 17. Casey D. 45. Hagelskjaer A. 6. Allen T. 23. Huggins N. 10. Leahy L. (C) 8. Boyd-Munce C. 3. Harvie D. 21. Mullins J. 12. Woodrow C. 44. Onyedinma F.
Substitutes
1. Burge L. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 7. Hoskins S. 17. Jacobs M. 11. Swyer K. 27. Vale J. 6. Willis J.	9. Fink B. 2. Grimmer J. 51. Lowry A. 7. Quitirna A. 26. Taylor C. 15. Tilley J. 1. van Sas M. (G)
Coaches
Nolan K.	Duff M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Allen T. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Onyedinma F. ⚽, Casey D. (A),
20', Wormleighton J. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Guthrie J. ⚽, Eaves T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Edwards K. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
58', Taylor T. 🟨,
61', Wormleighton J. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
61', Dyche M. ↓, Willis J. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Onyedinma F. ⚽, Boyd-Munce C. (A),
70', Huggins N. ↓, Grimmer J. ↑,
75', List E. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
76', Mullins J. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
83', Woodrow C. 🟨,
84', Woodrow C. ↓, Fink B. ↑,
89', Harvie D. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Wycombe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wycombe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Northampton: Forbes M. (Inactive) Fornah T. (Inactive) McGeehan C. (Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Wheatley E. (Injury)

There will not play in Wycombe: Grimmer J. (Lower Back Injury) Henderson E. (Inactive) Scowen J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).

Outrights of English League One for now

Wycombe: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Wycombe	9	2	4	3	14:20	-6	10

Last Results with these Odds

Northampton Town - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.51%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Wycombe Wanderers - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.49%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English EFL Trophy
14.01.26	Northampton Town - Walsall	4:2 ✺
English League One
04.01.26	Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
01.01.26	Northampton Town - Stockport County	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Huddersfield Town - Northampton Town	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Burton Albion - Northampton Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTLL
- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
04.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0
English League One
20.09.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Northampton Town	2:0
25.01.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Northampton Town	0:0
14.09.24	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2
English League Cup
13.08.24	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2
English League One
16.03.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Northampton Town	2:0
02.09.23	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1

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