Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Alcoraz (Huesca)

Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Huesca		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.5	Watch
	2.45	2.75	3
	2.28	2.82	3.4
	2.4	2.9	3.67
	1.41	3.93	10.05	Watch
	2.4	2.84	3.36	Watch
	2.46	2.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.34)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	4.31 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huesca
44.3%

Draw
32.8%

Burgos
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

31.5%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

32.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huesca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Huesca - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Huesca (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Burgos (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Huesca (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Burgos (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jimenez D. (G) 2. Toni Abad 14. Pulido J. 5. Pina 3. Ro 23. Sielva O. 16. Alvarez J. 33. Luna D. 10. Kortajarena I. 21. Ojeda D. 9. Enrich S.	13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. 17. Cantero M. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 10. Appin K. 20. Gonzalez M.
Substitutes
38. Albarracin G. 17. Alonso J. 28. Arribas S. 11. Beltran L. 4. Carrillo A. 30. Martin D. (G) 19. Ntamack S. 22. Perez A. 15. Perez H. 20. Portillo F. 7. Rico M. 18. Rodriguez E.	15. Bunuel A. 18. Cordoba A. 21. Cordoba I. 28. del Cerro S. 31. Garcia F. 35. Gonzalez D. (G) 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 9. Nino F. 1. Ruiz J. (G) 32. Ventosa E.
Coaches
Guillo S.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Toni Abad 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Luna D. ⚽, Kortajarena I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Appin K. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
51', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
52', Sielva O. 🟨,
62', Toni Abad ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
62', Ojeda D. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
65', Cantero M. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
68', Sierra G. 🟨,
69', Luna D. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
69', Enrich S. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Pen),
74', Gonzalez M. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
74', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
78', Miguel F. 🟨,
84', Kortajarena I. ↓, Ntamack S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Ntamack S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Huesca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Huesca: Chatiliez W. (International duty) Martin J. (Knee Injury) Mier J. (Injury)

There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Exposito M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Burgos: Mollejo V. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Huesca won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.25	Huesca - Granada	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Huesca	4:0 ✺
13.09.25	Huesca - Málaga	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Ceuta - Huesca	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Huesca - Eibar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
28.09.25	Burgos - Málaga	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Burgos - Granada	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	FC Andorra - Burgos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.04.25	Burgos - Huesca	2:1
07.09.24	Huesca - Burgos	0:1
24.03.24	Huesca - Burgos	3:0
13.08.23	Burgos - Huesca	1:1
09.04.23	Huesca - Burgos	2:1
18.12.22	Burgos - Huesca	1:1
18.03.22	Huesca - Burgos	1:0

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