The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Huesca 23.6%
Draw 31.8%
Deportivo Alavés 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
32.5%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
32.1%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huesca's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Alavés's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huesca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.7%
20%
53.3%
Huesca - Deportivo Alavés Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Alavés will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 28.1% – 78.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Huesca has the most likely position - 11 (12.43%), project points - 55, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Alavés has the most likely position - 5 (24%), project points - 71, currently - 57, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (76%), a chance of promoted (42%), a small chance of win league (7%).
This event has quality35, importance33, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Huesca won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Huesca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Alavés will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Huesca won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Huesca won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.
Watch
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