Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 31

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Trujillo Suarez D. (Esp)


	Deportivo Alavés		Lugo

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	11	Watch
	1.37	4.1	8.75
	1.34	4.6	10
	1.37	4.2	8.8
	1.38	4.44	11.19
	1.37	4.45	9.7	Watch
	1.38	4.2	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)	4.33 ↑ (3.91)	9.78 ↑ (7.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
68.7%

Draw
21.7%

Lugo
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

23.5%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

22%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	10%	5%

Deportivo Alavés - Lugo Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Alavés has the most likely position - 4 (18.87%), has project points - 72, has currently - 53, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (66%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (54.02%), has project points - 35, has currently - 23, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, importance 33, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 2.

Alavés is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lugo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alavés is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Alavés won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.23	Villarreal B - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Ibiza	4:2 ✺
11.02.23	Zaragoza - Deportivo Alavés	1:4 ✺
04.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Eibar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWW
- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
05.03.23	Lugo - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Levante - Lugo	3:1 ✺
18.02.23	Lugo - Eibar	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Las Palmas - Lugo	3:0 ✺
05.02.23	Lugo - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.09.22	Lugo - Deportivo Alavés	1:2
19.03.16	Deportivo Alavés - Lugo	0:0
18.10.15	Lugo - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
22.03.15	Lugo - Deportivo Alavés	3:2
18.10.14	Deportivo Alavés - Lugo	1:0
18.05.14	Lugo - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
14.12.13	Deportivo Alavés - Lugo	2:1

Upcoming Matches