Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 29

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Referee: Guzman Mansilla J. L. (Esp)


	Ibiza		Huesca

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.88	3.3	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.1
	2.45	2.9	3.25
	2.53	2.88	3.43
	2.5	2.78	3.36	Watch
	2.45	2.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.68)	2.86 ↓ (2.95)	3.27 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
38.5%

Draw
32.8%

Huesca
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huesca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huesca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	38.5%	23.1%

Ibiza - Huesca Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Huesca will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ibiza: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (44.05%), has project points - 35, has currently - 19, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Huesca has the most likely position - 14 (9.45%), has project points - 54, has currently - 36, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, small importance 13, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ibiza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Huesca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ibiza will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
19.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Ibiza	4:2 ✺
12.02.23	Ibiza - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Lugo - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Ibiza - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
21.01.23	Granada - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTTL
- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
19.02.23	Huesca - Granada	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Sporting de Gijón - Huesca	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Huesca - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Las Palmas - Huesca	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Huesca - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.09.22	Huesca - Ibiza	3:0
26.02.22	Ibiza - Huesca	2:1
21.11.21	Huesca - Ibiza	0:0

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