Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 29

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)


	Deportivo Alavés		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	6	Watch
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.68	3.4	5.8
	1.72	3.47	5.95
	1.71	3.34	5.75	Watch
	1.72	3.35	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)	5.65 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
55.2%

Draw
28.2%

Cartagena
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

28.5%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Deportivo Alavés - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 8).

Alavés has the most likely position - 1 (24.78%), has project points - 74, has currently - 52, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (49%), has a good chance of promoted (58%), has a chance of win league (25%).

Cartagena has the most likely position - 8 (12.01%), has project points - 59, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 37, importance 48, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Alavés in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Cartagena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alavés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alavés to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alavés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
19.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Ibiza	4:2 ✺
11.02.23	Zaragoza - Deportivo Alavés	1:4 ✺
04.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Eibar	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Mirandés - Deportivo Alavés	1:3 ✺
21.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Racing Santander	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
17.02.23	Cartagena - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Eibar - Cartagena	0:3 ✺
05.02.23	Cartagena - Levante	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Ibiza - Cartagena	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	Cartagena - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.09.22	Cartagena - Deportivo Alavés	1:1

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