Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Alcoraz (Huesca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Huesca		Elche

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.31	Watch
	3.41	3.08	2.4
	3.23	3.06	2.42	Watch
	3.8	2.9	2.15
	3.32	3.08	2.35	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.15)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)	2.31 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huesca
28.4%

Draw
30.8%

Elche
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

32.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

30.9%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huesca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

Huesca - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Elche will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huesca: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Elche (1.64) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Elche (1.60) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez Juan (G) 7. Valentin G. 5. Loureiro M. 14. Pulido J. 4. Pulido R. 20. Vilarrasa I. 27. Hernandez J. 23. Sielva O. 22. Kortajarena I. 19. Soko P. 9. Enrich S.	13. Dituro M. (G) 5. Donald J. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 15. Nunez A. 7. Plano O. 10. Mercau N. 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. 20. Valera G. 19. El Ghezouani M.
Substitutes
15. Blasco J. 37. Chatiliez W. 18. Gonzalez D. 16. Moi 11. Munoz J. 30. Pereda A. (G) 8. Perez J. 2. Toni Abad 21. Unzueta I. 10. Vallejo H.	16. Alex Martin 9. Alvarez A. 21. Castro N. 31. Hernandez G. 35. Houary A. 3. Izquierdo J. 17. Josan 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 23. Pejino 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Valera G. 🟨,
17', Sielva O. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Nunez A. ⚽,
31', Pulido R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Aguado M. 🟨,
58', Valera G. 🟨,
63', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
64', Sielva O. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
64', Pulido R. ↓, Toni Abad ↑,
67', Pulido J. 🟨,
72', Plano O. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
72', Mercau N. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
76', Pulido J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
76', Vilarrasa I. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Soko P. (A),
80', Hernandez J. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
85', Nunez A. ↓, Mario Gaspar ↑,
85', Aguado M. ↓, Alex Martin ↑,
90+2', Unzueta I. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
90+4', Munoz J. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 3.

Huesca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elche has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Elche will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Huesca: Arguigue Safsati A. (International duty) Jimenez D. (Injury) Martin J. (Knee Injury) Mier J. (Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Diaby B. (Injury) Rashani E. (Injury) Salinas J. (Yellow Cards) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Huesca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Huesca - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 27.74%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.25	Albacete Balompié - Huesca	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	Huesca - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Zaragoza - Huesca	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Huesca - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
14.04.25	Huesca - Málaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTLW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
10.05.25	Elche - Levante	1:3 ✺
03.05.25	Burgos - Elche	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Granada - Elche	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Elche - Albacete Balompié	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Cádiz - Elche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.08.24	Elche - Huesca	0:1
12.05.24	Elche - Huesca	0:3
22.10.23	Huesca - Elche	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
09.04.21	Huesca - Elche	3:1
03.10.20	Elche - Huesca	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.20	Elche - Huesca	1:1
27.10.19	Huesca - Elche	2:0

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