Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 37

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Denmark	TV2 Play
France	beIN Connect, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	DAZN 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 9
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Granada		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.4	Watch
	2.3	2.85	3.2
	2.33	3	3.25
	2.35	3.03	3.63
	2.48	2.83	3.41	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3
	2.32	2.99	3.51	Watch
	2.33	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.49)	2.95 ↓ (3.04)	3.33 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
39.9%

Draw
31.9%

Elche
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

31.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Granada - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Elche will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marino D. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 4. Rubio M. 24. Williams L. 15. Neva C. 6. Hongla M. 20. Ruiz S. 11. Tsitaishvili G. 8. Villar G. 21. Rebbach A. 7. Boye L.	13. Dituro M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 22. Affengruber D. 16. Alex Martin 12. Salinas J. 20. Valera G. 14. Febas A. 21. Castro N. 17. Josan 10. Mercau N. 7. Plano O.
Substitutes
30. Balde S. 17. Baston B. 3. Brau M. 5. Insua P. 16. Lama M. 13. Martinez M. (G) 19. Reinier 26. Rodelas S. 12. Sanchez R. 10. Stoichkov 23. Trigueros M. 9. Weissman S.	8. Aguado M. 6. Bigas P. 5. Donald J. 19. El Ghezouani M. 31. Hernandez G. 35. Houary A. 3. Izquierdo J. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 23. Pejino 11. Rashani E. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Escriba F.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Tsitaishvili G. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Plano O. ⚽, Nunez A. (A),
20', Valera G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Neva C. ↓, Brau M. ↑,
49', Boye L. (Pen),
54', Castro N. 🟨,
59', Alex Martin 🟨,
67', Valera G. ↓, Rashani E. ↑,
67', Castro N. ↓, Aguado M. ↑,
67', Plano O. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
67', Mercau N. 🟨,
69', Villar G. 🟨,
71', Rashani E. 🟨,
72', Rebbach A. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
77', Williams L. 🟨,
79', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Stoichkov ↑,
79', Ruiz S. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
79', Alex Martin ↓, Mario Gaspar ↑,
83', Josan ↓, Pejino ↑,
86', Boye L. ↓, Baston B. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 2.

Granada is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Elche in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Granada will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Granada: Zidane L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Alvarez A. (Knee Injury) Diaby B. (Injury) Mendoza R. (Illness) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Granada won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 0.9:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
20.04.25	Cartagena - Granada	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Albacete Balompié - Granada	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Granada - Almería	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Tenerife - Granada	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Granada - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
20.04.25	Elche - Albacete Balompié	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Cádiz - Elche	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Elche - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Córdoba - Elche	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Elche - Eldense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.09.24	Elche - Granada	2:2
Spanish LaLiga
12.03.22	Granada - Elche	0:1
02.01.22	Elche - Granada	0:0
28.02.21	Granada - Elche	2:1
13.12.20	Elche - Granada	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
21.01.19	Granada - Elche	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.09.18	Elche - Granada	2:1

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