The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Huesca 36.4%
Draw 31.6%
Girona 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
31.3%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
21.9%
46.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Huesca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huesca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
42.9%
28.6%
Huesca - Girona Predictions
Users Predictions:
56 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 16 - 28.6%). Girona will win (votes: 16 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 42.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.9% – 55.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 7).
Huesca has the most likely position - 12 (8.06%), has project points - 55, has currently - 27, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Girona has the most likely position - 4 (11.84%), has project points - 65, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Recent matches Huesca is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Girona in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Huesca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Huesca won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Huesca won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.