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Current Win Probability
Huesca 29.4%
Draw 32.9%
Valladolid 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
32.9%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.5%
33.3%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huesca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valladolid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
45.5%
36.4%
Huesca - Valladolid Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Valladolid will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Jimenez D. (G) 22. Perez A. 5. Pina 14. Pulido J. (C) 17. Alonso J. 21. Ojeda D. 23. Sielva O. 16. Alvarez J. 20. Portillo F. 9. Enrich S. 10. Kortajarena I.
13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 3. Bueno G. 21. Ponceau J. 24. Juric S. (C) 22. Peter Federico 20. Chuki 17. Biuk S. 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
3. Abajas R. 28. Arribas S. 11. Beltran L. 4. Carrillo A. 37. Chatiliez W. 33. Luna D. 30. Martin D. (G) 19. Ntamack S. 15. Perez H. 7. Rico M. 18. Rodriguez E. 2. Toni Abad
1. Aceves A. (G) 34. Aranda J. L. 19. Arnuncio A. 7. Canos S. 36. Dominguez M. 23. Jaouab M. 16. Maroto M. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 28. Moreno X. 11. Ndiaye A. 5. Sanchez J. 2. Trilli
Coaches
Bolo
Almada G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Chuki ⚽, Latasa J. (A),
35', Bueno G. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Peter Federico ⚽, Chuki (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ojeda D. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
46', Kortajarena I. ↓, Ntamack S. ↑,
51', Alvarez J. 🟨,
55', Alejo I. 🟨,
56', 0 - 3, Peter Federico ⚽, Biuk S. (A),
59', Enrich S. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
59', Alonso J. ↓, Abajas R. ↑,
70', Latasa J. 🟨,
74', Alvarez J. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Ntamack S. ⚽, Pulido J. (A),
75', Chuki ↓, Canos S. ↑,
75', Biuk S. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
76', 1 - 4, Ndiaye A. ⚽, Bueno G. (A),
84', Ponceau J. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
84', Peter Federico ↓, Trilli ↑,
85', Canos S. 🟨,
86', Perez A. 🟨,
88', Alejo I. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 2.
Huesca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Valladolid's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Huesca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Huesca: Aznar D.
(Knee Injury)
Beltran L.
(Injury)
Martin J.
(Knee Injury)
Mier J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Valladolid: Alani I.
(Red Card)
Delgado J.
(Injury)
Garriel I.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Valladolid: Marcos Andre
(Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Huesca won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Huesca - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.13%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.