Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Ibiza		Girona

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.6	3.05	2.85	Watch
	2.75	2.85	2.75
	2.97	2.98	2.81
	2.35	3	3.1	Watch
	2.84	2.98	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.29)	2.99 ↓ (3.28)	2.81 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
35.3%

Draw
31.3%

Girona
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

19.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibiza's form might have worsened.

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ibiza - Girona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 8).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 16 (7.8%), has project points - 52, has currently - 24, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Girona has the most likely position - 4 (10.08%), has project points - 65, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Recent matches Ibiza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Girona is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
05.12.21	Lugo - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Brea - Ibiza	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.21	Ibiza - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Huesca - Ibiza	0:0
14.11.21	Ibiza - Almería	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLTL
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga2
06.12.21	Girona - Leganés	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Girona	1:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.21	Eibar - Girona	4:2 ✺
22.11.21	Real Sociedad B - Girona	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	Girona - Cartagena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW

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