Match Info

Date: 17 December 2021, Friday


	Girona		Burgos

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	7	Watch
	1.51	3.6	6
	1.5	3.7	8	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6.6
	1.54	3.96	7.76
	1.52	3.6	7	Watch
	1.51	4	7.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.81)	3.81 ↑ (3.54)	7.09 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
62%

Draw
24.7%

Burgos
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

17.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Girona's performance.

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-28.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Girona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	16.7%	12.5%

Girona - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 34 - 70.8%). Burgos will win (votes: 6 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 57.9% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 9).

Girona has the most likely position - 5 (10.13%), has project points - 63, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Burgos has the most likely position - 15 (8.01%), has project points - 54, has currently - 28, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Recently Girona have a series of guest games.

In this match Girona is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.12.21	Huesca - Girona	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.21	Ibiza - Girona	1:1 ✺
06.12.21	Girona - Leganés	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Girona	1:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.21	Eibar - Girona	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTWWL
- Burgos CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.12.21	Zaragoza - Burgos	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.21	Burgos - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Montijo - Burgos	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.21	Burgos - Málaga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWW

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