Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio El Alcoraz (Huesca)

Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Huesca		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.93	2.87	4.33
	1.95	3	4.5	Watch
	1.99	3	5.11
	1.97	2.96	4.87	Watch
	2	3	4.4
	1.96	3.13	4.5	Watch
	1.95	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.27)	3.01 ↑ (2.87)	4.59 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huesca
48.1%

Draw
31.4%

Tenerife
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

32.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

32.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huesca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Huesca's performance.

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tenerife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huesca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	9.6%	1.9%

Huesca - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 46 - 90.2%). Tenerife will win (votes: 1 - 2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huesca: 82% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jimenez D. (G) 5. Loureiro M. 15. Blasco J. 14. Pulido J. 7. Valentin G. 22. Kortajarena I. 23. Sielva O. 27. Hernandez J. 20. Vilarrasa I. 19. Soko P. 21. Unzueta I.	25. Badia E. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Gonzalez S. 4. Leon J. 14. Guerrero A. 19. Cantero A. 8. Diarra Y. 33. Martin Luis A. 17. Rubio W. 18. Enric 9. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
26. Anglada H. 37. Chatiliez W. 9. Enrich S. 18. Gonzalez D. 3. Martin J. 6. Mier J. 11. Munoz J. 1. Perez Juan (G) 4. Pulido R. 2. Toni Abad	12. Alves R. 15. Bodiger Y. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 32. Fernandez D. 24. Gaya J. 23. Juande 20. Mesa M. 10. Moreno M. 28. Perera D. 7. Romero Morillo A. 34. Senhadji Y. 21. Teto A.
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Mel P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Soko P. ⚽, Loureiro M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Rodriguez A. ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
65', Cantero A. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
66', Loureiro M. 🟨,
69', Kortajarena I. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
69', Unzueta I. ↓, Mier J. ↑,
71', Diarra Y. 🟨,
74', Valentin G. ↓, Toni Abad ↑,
75', Pulido J. 🟨,
77', Diarra Y. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
81', Soko P. ↓, Enrich S. ↑,
81', Hernandez J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
90+1', Martin Luis A. ↓, Senhadji Y. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huesca won 0.

Huesca in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tenerife is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tenerife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tenerife have a series of guest games.

In this match Huesca is a favorite.

There will not play in Huesca: Vallejo H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Medrano F. (Muscle Injury) Sanz A. (Knee Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Huesca won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:15 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Huesca won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
15.12.24	Racing Santander - Huesca	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Huesca - Eibar	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.24	Real Oviedo - Huesca	0:3 ✺
24.11.24	Huesca - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 WWWWT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.24	Córdoba - Tenerife	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Tenerife - Elche	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Albacete Balompié - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.03.24	Tenerife - Huesca	0:0
21.08.23	Huesca - Tenerife	0:2
24.04.23	Huesca - Tenerife	1:1
19.11.22	Tenerife - Huesca	2:0
22.04.22	Tenerife - Huesca	0:0
02.10.21	Huesca - Tenerife	1:2
15.01.20	Huesca - Tenerife	2:1

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