Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Palencia Caballero D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Tenerife		Elche

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.5	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.45
	3.1	2.85	2.5	Watch
	3.36	2.9	2.56
	3.29	2.87	2.51	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.6
	3.13	2.93	2.52	Watch
	3.1	2.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.78)	2.87 ↑ (2.86)	2.52 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
30%

Draw
32.7%

Elche
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

32.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

33.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Tenerife - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Elche will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nadal T. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Gonzalez S. (C) 4. Leon J. 14. Guerrero A. 11. Cruz Luismi 33. Martin Luis A. 8. Diarra Y. 17. Rubio W. 20. Mesa M. 9. Rodriguez A.	13. Dituro M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 12. Salinas J. 14. Febas A. 8. Guti R. 17. Josan 10. Mercau N. 24. Santiago Y. 9. Alvarez A.
Substitutes
12. Alves R. 15. Bodiger Y. 19. Cantero A. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 18. Enric 24. Gaya J. 10. Moreno M. 28. Perera D. 31. Perez A. 2. Rodriguez D. 34. Senhadji Y. 21. Teto A.	16. Alex Martin 21. Castro N. 23. Clerc C. 19. El Ghezouani M. 31. Hernandez G. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 36. Nunez R. 7. Plano O. 20. Salvador C. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Mel P.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Martin Luis A. 🟨,
23', Mercau N. 🟨,
26', Mercau N. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Diarra Y. ⚽, Cruz Luismi (A),
35', Febas A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Febas A. ↓, Salvador C. ↑,
46', Santiago Y. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
46', Martin Luis A. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
60', Mesa M. 🟨,
61', Mesa M. ↓, Senhadji Y. ↑,
62', Rubio W. 🟨,
67', Josan ↓, Nunez R. ↑,
69', Mellot J. 🟨,
71', Rodriguez A. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
71', Rubio W. ↓, Perera D. ↑,
74', Salvador C. 🟨,
75', Alvarez A. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
80', Affengruber D. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
83', Mellot J. 🟨,
84', Perera D. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
86', Castro N. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Kaba S. ⚽, Bigas P. (A),
90+3', Guti R. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 1.

Recent matches Tenerife is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elche is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Tenerife have a series of guest games.

Elche will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Plano O. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Elche: Clerc C. (Hip Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:16 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
24.11.24	Albacete Balompié - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Tenerife - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Alfaro - Tenerife	0:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.24	Ferrol - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWT
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
24.11.24	Elche - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
16.11.24	Levante - Elche	1:1 ✺
08.11.24	Elche - Almería	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Eibar - Elche	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Coria - Elche	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.01.24	Tenerife - Elche	0:1
28.10.23	Elche - Tenerife	2:1
Club Friendly
28.07.21	Elche - Tenerife	2:2
Spanish LaLiga2
22.02.20	Tenerife - Elche	1:0
19.09.19	Elche - Tenerife	1:1
18.05.19	Elche - Tenerife	3:0
04.01.19	Tenerife - Elche	2:1

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