Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, TV Canaria


	Zamora		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.88	2.1
	3.5	2.98	2.12
	3.81	3	2.11	Watch
	3.4	2.7	2.15
	3.55	3.01	2.2
	3.33	2.85	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.14 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
26%

Draw
31.4%

Tenerife
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

31%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

30%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Tenerife have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Zamora - Tenerife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 20. Codina M. 4. Athuman I. 3. Merchan D. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 16. Lozano M. 10. Ramos C. 7. Kike 22. Sancho J. 15. Buron L. 18. Farrell J.	1. Martin D. (G) 4. Leon J. 12. Landazuri A. 19. Alvarez C. 2. Rodriguez D. 16. Sanz A. 6. Juanjo 15. Fabricio 10. Gil N. 20. Manjam A. 9. de Miguel J.
Substitutes
17. Carbonell J. 14. Claveria P. 6. Garcia M. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 8. Marcelo A. 19. Monerris A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 5. Ruiz E.	17. Balde M. 5. Calavera J. 23. Jorge J. 14. Lopez N. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 21. Mateu M. 11. Mesa M. 40. Padilla Hernandez A. (G) 28. Sabina F. 27. Ulloa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Ramos C. (Own goal),
41', Ramos C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Juanjo ↓, Mateu M. ↑,
53', Athuman I. 🟨,
60', Buron L. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
65', Gil N. 🟨,
66', Farrell J. ↓, Marcelo A. ↑,
66', Ramos C. ↓, Monerris A. ↑,
80', Athuman I. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
83', Luengo Herrera L. M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Zamora is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tenerife is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tenerife is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Zamora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Zamora	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.01.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Zamora	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Zamora - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Zamora	2:3 ✺
12.12.25	Cacereño - Zamora	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Zamora - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.01.26	Tenerife - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Osasuna B - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Tenerife - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Real Avilés - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lugo - Tenerife	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.10.25	Tenerife - Zamora	3:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 penalties

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