Match Info

Kakkonen Group C

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Äänekosken Keskuskenttä nurmi (Äänekoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Huima Urho		JS Hercules

	1	X	2
	1.17	7.50	8.75
	1.21	6.00	7.50
	1.17	8.88	10.83
	1.15	8.24	9.74
	1.11	8.75	10.00
	1.18	8.20	9.73
	1.65	4.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.65)	7.42 ↑ (4.35)	8.58 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huima Urho
76.3%

Draw
12.7%

JS Hercules
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

20.5%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

19.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huima Urho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Huima Urho's performance.

JS Hercules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JS Hercules might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huima Urho than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huima Urho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JS Hercules than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JS Hercules could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Huima Urho - JS Hercules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Pasoja J. (G) 30. Fadera M. 75. Nurmi D. 88. Porkka J. 10. Rantamaki T. 74. Ronka J. 15. Ronka S. 76. Rutanen L. 2. Saarikko J. 23. Sumanen O. 8. Suutari S. (C)	12. Tynjala O. (G) 27. Attah S. 5. Haapalainen N. 24. Jibrin A. (C) 20. Karsama J. 2. Keskitalo E. 23. Pahti A. 22. Salmela E. 10. Sarajarvi K. 28. Tervaoja S. 4. Vaihoja S.
Substitutes
9. Duka M. 11. Heinonen J. 22. Ikaheimo S. (G) 45. Lampila K. 78. Norontaus A. 18. Ylonen A.	8. Huitsi E. 6. Karppelin A. 19. Korkala V. 13. Kotilainen E. 91. Lehtosaari S. 11. Ukura S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Kotilainen E. 🟨,
61', Salmela E. ↓, Ukura S. ↑,
64', Porkka J. ↓, Ylonen A. ↑,
69', Ronka J. 🟨,
70', Attah S. ↓, Karppelin A. ↑,
73', Ronka S. ↓, Lampila K. ↑,
77', Sarajarvi K. ↓, Huitsi E. ↑,
77', Pahti A. ↓, Korkala V. ↑,
90+1', Sumanen O. ↓, Norontaus A. ↑,
90+6', Tervaoja S. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: )).

In recent matches, Huima Urho has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

JS Hercules is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Huima Urho is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huima Urho
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
05.07.26	VPS 2 - Huima Urho	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Huima Urho - JBK	3:2 ✺
14.06.26	Närpes - Huima Urho	1:3 ✺
06.06.26	Huima Urho - Jaro 2	7:1 ✺
29.05.26	Huima Urho - GBK Kokkola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWL
- JS Hercules
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
04.07.26	JS Hercules - Vaajakoski	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	GBK Kokkola - JS Hercules	7:0 ✺
14.06.26	Jaro 2 - JS Hercules	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	JS Hercules - VPS 2	1:5 ✺
27.05.26	SJK Akatemia 2 - JS Hercules	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

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