What is the expert prediction for Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday?

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Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, March 21, 2026)

Match Info

Championship - Round 39

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: MKM Stadium (Hull)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hull City		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	8	Watch
	1.38	5.25	7
	1.37	4.93	8.34	Watch
	1.36	5.34	9.03
	1.34	5.29	8.36	Watch
	1.36	4.8	7.5
	1.39	5.13	8.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	5.11 ↓ (5.17)	8.12 ↓ (8.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
69.7%

Draw
18.6%

Sheffield Wednesday
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18.2%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

13.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 72.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hull City will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 18. Drameh C. 6. Ajayi S. 15. Egan J. 37. McNair P. 27. Slater R. (C) 25. Crooks M. 22. Joseph K. 21. Gelhardt J. 7. Millar L. 9. McBurnie O.	1. Charles P. (G) 4. Fusire S. 6. Iorfa D. 22. Otegbayo G. 2. Palmer L. (C) 24. Heskey J. 45. Adaramola T. 37. Thornton J. 8. Ingelsson S. 9. Lowe J. 12. Yates J.
Substitutes
10. Belloumi M. 33. Collyer T. 2. Coyle L. 26. Dowell K. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 36. Koumas L. 5. Lundstram J. 58. McCarthy C. 12. Phillips D. (G)	14. Chalobah N. 31. Grainger W. 3. Lowe M. 28. McGhee C. 17. McNeill C. 18. Nakamba M. 21. Ndala J. 25. Stretch L. (G) 11. Ugbo I.
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Pedersen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Lowe J. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Crooks M. ⚽, Joseph K. (A),
31', Slater R. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
42', Egan J. 🟨,
45+6', 2 - 1, Iorfa D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Crooks M. 🟨,
58', 3 - 1, Joseph K. ⚽, McBurnie O. (A),
63', Thornton J. ↓, McNeill C. ↑,
63', Adaramola T. ↓, Lowe M. ↑,
69', Millar L. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
69', Gelhardt J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
73', Lowe J. ↓, Ndala J. ↑,
79', Crooks M. ↓, Belloumi M. ↑,
80', Joseph K. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
85', Ingelsson S. ↓, Chalobah N. ↑,
85', Iorfa D. ↓, McGhee C. ↑,
88', Lundstram J. 🟨,
90', McNeill C. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Sheff Wed is Relegated to League One

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 1.

Hull has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sheff Wed has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Hull has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hull is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Hull: Famewo A. (Calf Injury) Giles R. (Inactive) Gyabi D. (Groin Injury) Hirakawa Y. (Injury) Hughes C. (Red Card) Jacob M. (Knee Injury) Matazo E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sheff Wed: Bernard D. (Knee Injury) Brown G. (Injury) Cooper L. (Injury) Cooper M. (Groin Injury) Guilherme Siqueira (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kobacki O. (Inactive) Weaver E. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Hull: Coyle L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sheff Wed: Lowe M. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hull won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hull	42	20	8	14	64:60	4	68
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	42	1	11	30	25:82	-57	-4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
14.03.26	West Bromwich Albion - Hull City	3:0 ✺
10.03.26	Wrexham - Hull City	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Hull City - Millwall	1:3 ✺
03.03.26	Ipswich Town - Hull City	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Portsmouth - Hull City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLLW
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League Championship
14.03.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Watford	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Derby County - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Southampton	1:3 ✺
25.02.26	Norwich City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.12.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City	2:2
05.04.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City	0:1
26.11.24	Hull City - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2
English League Cup
14.08.24	Hull City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2
English League Championship
01.01.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City	3:1
12.08.23	Hull City - Sheffield Wednesday	4:2
01.01.20	Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City	0:1

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