Match Info

Championship - Round 35

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Sweden	Viaplay
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Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Portsmouth		Hull City

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4	Watch
	2.37	3.3	3
	1.96	3.46	3.95	Watch
	1.99	3.56	4.04
	1.94	3.5	3.98	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.8
	2.03	3.52	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.42)	3.43 ↓ (3.47)	3.82 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
47.3%

Draw
27.7%

Hull City
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

27.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portsmouth's performance.

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hull City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hull City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	6.8%	14.9%

Portsmouth - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 58 - 78.4%). Hull will win (votes: 11 - 14.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 69% – 87.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Portsmouth (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Portsmouth (1.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.25 - Hull (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Portsmouth will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 26 - 83.9%). Hull (votes: 5 - 16.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 3. Ogilvie C. 22. Swanson Z. 7. Pack M. (C) 38. Adams E. 29. Blair H. 10. Segecic A. 27. Alli M. 9. Bishop C.	1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 4. Hughes C. 15. Egan J. 23. Famewo A. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 27. Slater R. 22. Joseph K. 21. Gelhardt J. 36. Koumas L. 9. McBurnie O.
Substitutes
17. Bowat I. 40. Brown J. 26. Bursik J. (G) 47. Caballero G. 36. Chaplin C. 55. Dia M. 16. Le Roux L. 14. Matthews H. 2. Williams J.	25. Crooks M. 26. Dowell K. 18. Drameh C. 55. Howard A. (G) 5. Lundstram J. 58. McCarthy C. 37. McNair P. 7. Millar L. 12. Phillips D. (G)
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Jakirovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Blair H. ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
60', Hadziahmetovic A. 🟨,
62', Joseph K. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
63', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Crooks M. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Crooks M. ⚽,
76', Gelhardt J. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
82', Adams E. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
82', Swanson Z. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
85', Koumas L. ↓, McNair P. ↑,
85', Slater R. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
88', Pandur I. 🟨,
90+1', Devlin T. ↓, Dia M. ↑,
90+6', Coyle L. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1.

In recent matches, Portsmouth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hull has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hull may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Portsmouth has had a series of away games.

Recently, Hull has had a series of home games.

Portsmouth could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Portsmouth: 0.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Hull City - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.74%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
24.02.26	Wrexham - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Millwall - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
17.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Portsmouth - Sheffield United	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Preston North End - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWLL
- Hull City
English League Championship
24.02.26	Hull City - Derby County	4:2 ✺
21.02.26	Hull City - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
13.02.26	Hull City - Chelsea	0:4 ✺
English League Championship
07.02.26	Hull City - Bristol City	2:3 ✺
03.02.26	Hull City - Watford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.11.25	Hull City - Portsmouth	3:2
03.05.25	Portsmouth - Hull City	1:1
02.11.24	Hull City - Portsmouth	1:1
English League One
23.01.21	Portsmouth - Hull City	0:4
18.12.20	Hull City - Portsmouth	0:2
English League Championship
27.03.12	Portsmouth - Hull City	2:0

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